Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9/5/26 18:05
Atlanta Braves

Prediction:

 

Over 8 Total Runs

-118
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks

A full 15-game MLB slate is scheduled for Saturday, one of which will feature a National League East matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Phillies and the Braves.

Atlanta enters this game with one of the best records in the league and, because of that, is currently in first place in the National League East division. Starting this game for the Braves will be Martin Perez, who has a record of 8-8 and an ERA of 3.05. Most of Perez’s struggles have come on the road this season, suggesting the Phillies’ red-hot offense will be able to take advantage.

As for Philadelphia, they also enter this game with one of the best records, but are currently in second place in the National League East division. Set to start this game for the Phillies will be Zack Wheeler, who has a record of 11-5 and an ERA of 3.31. Wheeler has been solid at home, but not lights-out, which suggests the Braves’ offense will also have success in this matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
2 Atlanta Braves
0.596 141 84 57
7 Philadelphia Phillies
0.56 141 79 62

Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves Latest Matches

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 1, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 31, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
2 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
2 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Aug 23, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  4
St. Louis Cardinals

Aug 22, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
12 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

Aug 21, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  6
St. Louis Cardinals

Aug 19, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 18, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  4
Miami Marlins
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  0
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 1, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 31, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
2 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
2 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 28, 2026 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
0 :  9
Atlanta Braves

Sep 1, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
9 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Aug 31, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  7
San Francisco Giants

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  2
Colorado Rockies

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  1
Colorado Rockies
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 31, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  7
San Francisco Giants

Aug 30, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  2
Colorado Rockies

Aug 29, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  1
Colorado Rockies

Aug 28, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  4
Colorado Rockies

Aug 27, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  0
Los Angeles Dodgers

Aug 26, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Sep 2, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
0 :  9
Atlanta Braves

Sep 1, 2026 - MLB

Washington Nationals
9 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Aug 23, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Aug 22, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Aug 21, 2026 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia Phillies against Atlanta Braves : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Phillies

17 %

Atlanta Braves

83 %

Sep 4, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Apr 26, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 25, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 24, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 19, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Apr 18, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  3
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Picks

Philadelphia Phillies - Atlanta Braves Key Points

  1. Martin Perez has an ERA of 3.05 this season
  2. Martin Perez has an ERA of 4.42 on the road this season
  3. Zack Wheeler has an ERA of 3.31 this season
  4. Zack Wheeler has an ERA of 3.23 at home this season

Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Phillies are the heavy favorite in this game; however, the over looks to be the best betting option. This goes directly to the home/away splits between the two starting pitchers. For instance, Perez has made 11 away appearances (10 starts), in which he has allowed 29 runs (26 earned) over 53.0 innings. Wheeler, on the other hand, has made nine home starts, where he has allowed 19 earned runs over 53.0 innings.

Additionally, both Atlanta and Philadelphia have high-scoring offenses, and both rank in the top half of the league in terms of runs per game. For that reason, our Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves prediction is: Over 8 Total Runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 8 Total Runs

-118
$350 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.