New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Atlanta Braves will try to make it two in a row today when they play the Mets at Citi Field in New York at 7:10 p.m. EST. Atlanta took an early 3-0 lead in yesterday’s game with a run in the top of the second and two more in the top of the third. Spencer Schwellenbach gave up a pair of runs in the bottom of the sixth, but the Braves were able to hold onto the lead the rest of the way. Dylan Lee pitched 1 1/3 innings, striking out two for his second save of the season.
Spencer Strider will get the start for the Braves. Strider is 2-5 with a 3.89 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. However, his last outing was against the Mets in Atlanta, where he went six innings and held New York to five hits and one earned run while walking one and striking out eight. He’ll face Frankie Montas, who will be coming off the IL to make his first start since the 2024 postseason when he was with the Brewers. Incidentally, his last start was against the Mets; he lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up six hits, three runs (one earned), and one walk while striking out three.
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New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
0.512 | 162 | 83 | 79 |
|
23
|
0.469 | 162 | 76 | 86 |
New York Mets and Atlanta Braves Latest Matches
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New York Mets against Atlanta Braves : Head to Head (H2H)
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New York Mets - Atlanta Braves Key Points
- Atlanta leads the all-time series with the Mets 520-425-1.
- The Braves are 4-0 vs. the Mets this season and 8-2 in the last ten games between these two teams.
- Atlanta has lost their last seven games on the road when favored and following a win.
- Betting Public: 80% of moneyline tickets are on Atlanta, but only 50% of the handle.
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Our New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
I don’t want to back a pitcher coming back from such a long layoff, but the more I look into Spencer Strider, the less I like what I see. He has given up 17 runs across seven outings, but 12 came in three starts, and he has only allowed one across his last two starts. But he has struggled on the road this season (4.50 ERA) and even more so at night (4.95). However, Montas struggled towards the end of his rehab assignment, allowing 13 runs over 6 2/3 innings across two starts. To further cloud matters, neither team is hitting well (Braves: .244 and Mets: .212) over the last week.
It's no wonder that 94% of total tickets and 93% of the handle are on the UNDER (9).
Our Braves vs. Mets Pick: UNDER 9
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