Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
5/4/24 21:10
Atlanta Braves

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 Runs

-115
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 by Dan Angell in MLB Picks

The Atlanta Braves (20-10 SU, 15-15 ATS) meet the Los Angeles Dodgers (21-13 SU, 16-18 ATS) in a matchup of National League powerhouses that have won with both offense and defense. Between the two of them, they allow roughly 7.6 runs per game, while they score roughly 10.6 runs per game combined. Both teams rank in the top eight in the majors in runs scored and runs prevented, and both can adjust to win a game however they need to do it that day.

In this matchup, the winning team has often needed to win a tight one. Out of the past 10 meetings, five of them have been decided by two runs or less. The teams’ first meeting of 2024 proved true to form, with the Dodgers getting the win in extra innings after the Braves tied the score late in the contest. There’s a reason these teams are usually near the top of the National League.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
1 Los Angeles Dodgers
0.605 162 98 64
9 Atlanta Braves
0.549 162 89 73

Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves Latest Matches

Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 3, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Apr 28, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 27, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 26, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  12
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 24, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  11
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 23, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 3, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Apr 20, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  6
New York Mets

Apr 16, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
6 :  2
Washington Nationals

Apr 14, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
3 :  6
San Diego Padres

Apr 13, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
5 :  2
San Diego Padres

Apr 12, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
7 :  8
San Diego Padres
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 28, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  1
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 27, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 26, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  12
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 24, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  11
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 23, 2024 - MLB

Washington Nationals
1 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 10, 2024 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  2
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 3, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Apr 28, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Apr 27, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  4
Cleveland Guardians

Apr 24, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  3
Miami Marlins

Apr 22, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  0
Miami Marlins

Apr 19, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
8 :  3
Texas Rangers
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 28, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Apr 27, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  4
Cleveland Guardians

Apr 24, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  3
Miami Marlins

Apr 22, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  0
Miami Marlins

Apr 19, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
8 :  3
Texas Rangers

Apr 11, 2024 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  16
New York Mets
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 3, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Apr 17, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Apr 15, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Apr 14, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  9
Atlanta Braves

Apr 12, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  8
Atlanta Braves

Apr 1, 2024 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
0 :  9
Atlanta Braves

Los Angeles Dodgers against Atlanta Braves : Head to Head (H2H)

Los Angeles Dodgers

67 %

Atlanta Braves

33 %

May 3, 2024 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
4 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Sep 1, 2023 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
3 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Aug 31, 2023 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
7 :  8
Atlanta Braves

May 22, 2023 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  8
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 26, 2022 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers

Apr 18, 2022 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
7 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Los Angeles Dodgers - Atlanta Braves Key Points

  1. The Dodgers have won eight of their past 10 games.
  2. The under is 5-1 in the Dodgers’ past six games.
  3. The under is 9-0-1 in the Braves’ past 10 games.
  4. The Braves are 2-4 in their past six games.

Our Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

There's another reason to lean hard into the under in this matchup: the pitchers. Tyler Glasnow has mostly been lights out in his starts this season, not giving up more than two runs in six of his seven starts. Other than one bad outing against Washington, he's been one of the most reliable pitchers in the NL. Bryce Elder struggled in the spring and started the year at Triple-A Gwinnett, but he seems to have gotten the message. Since that early hiccup, he's earned a 1.50 ERA in two major league starts.

The Braves keep hitting their unders in part because they boast the second-best bullpen in the National League. As long as Atlanta gets anything close to a decent effort from its starter and doesn't go over the top at the plate, the under is always in play for the Braves. With Glasnow on the mound, the Braves' offense going crazy shouldn't be a worry. Our prediction for Atlanta vs. Los Angeles is Under 8.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 Runs

-115
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Picks