Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Atlanta Braves (91-66, 40-37 Away) will go for the series sweep today when they face off against the Astros (77-78, 39-41 Home) at Daikin Park in Houston, TX. Fans can follow the action on MLB.TV once the game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. EST.
Houston has picked the worst time to struggle (3-7 in their last ten). With yesterday’s loss to the Braves and Texas beating Toronto, the Astros are now one game back in the AL West race and two games back for the final AL wild card spot.
They’ll need a strong outing from Hunter Brown today to help them make up that ground. Brown has gone 6-3 this season in 18 starts with a 3.43 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and a .216 OBA. When pitching at home, he has gone 4-2 in 11 starts with a 3.55 ERA and a .212 OBA.
Atlanta is scheduled to go with Martin Perez. Perez has gone 9-9 in 29 appearances (25 starts) with a 3.07 ERA and a 1,26 WHIP. Teams have hit .224 against him. But he has not had his best stuff on the road, where he is 4-5 in 13 appearances (12 starts) with a 4.60 ERA and a .273 OBA.
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Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.58 | 162 | 94 | 68 |
|
14
|
0.5 | 162 | 81 | 81 |
Houston Astros and Atlanta Braves Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Houston Astros against Atlanta Braves : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
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Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves Key Points
- Atlanta has gone 6-2 vs. Houston over the last three seasons.
- Houston has gone 40-40 ATS (run line) at home this season; Atlanta has gone 39-37 ATS (run line) on the road.
- The OVER is 39-38-3 for the Astros at home and 37-35-4 for the Braves on the road.
- Betting Public: 44% of moneyline tickets and 59% of the handle are on the Braves.
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Our Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
Given how the series has gone and how the Astros have played over the last week, I’m a little surprised Houston is the betting favorite and has drawn a higher percentage of tickets. Hunter Brown is a solid pitcher at home, and Perez is not at his best on the road. But he doesn’t have to be against a Houston lineup struggling to make contact (.218 BA over the last week).
Our Atlanta vs. Houston Pick: Braves ML
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