Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Houston Astros
9/20/26 14:10
Atlanta Braves

Prediction:

 

Atlanta ML

+118
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The Atlanta Braves (91-66, 40-37 Away) will go for the series sweep today when they face off against the Astros (77-78, 39-41 Home) at Daikin Park in Houston, TX. Fans can follow the action on MLB.TV once the game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. EST.

Houston has picked the worst time to struggle (3-7 in their last ten).  With yesterday’s loss to the Braves and Texas beating Toronto, the Astros are now one game back in the AL West race and two games back for the final AL wild card spot.

They’ll need a strong outing from Hunter Brown today to help them make up that ground. Brown has gone 6-3 this season in 18 starts with a 3.43 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and a .216 OBA. When pitching at home, he has gone 4-2 in 11 starts with a 3.55 ERA and a .212 OBA.

Atlanta is scheduled to go with Martin Perez. Perez has gone 9-9 in 29 appearances (25 starts) with a 3.07 ERA and a 1,26 WHIP. Teams have hit .224 against him. But he has not had his best stuff on the road, where he is 4-5 in 13 appearances (12 starts) with a 4.60 ERA and a .273 OBA.

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Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
4 Atlanta Braves
0.58 162 94 68
14 Houston Astros
0.5 162 81 81

Houston Astros and Atlanta Braves Latest Matches

Houston Astros
Houston Astros Latest matches
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
14 :  4
Houston Astros
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Sep 6, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  3
Arizona Diamondbacks
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
14 :  4
Houston Astros

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  2
Houston Astros

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  1
Houston Astros

Sep 10, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  2
Houston Astros

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
11 :  7
Houston Astros

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
Houston Astros
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 14, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 13, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 12, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
12 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 11, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 10, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 9, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 8, 2026 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 14, 2026 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
7 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Sep 7, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  0
Atlanta Braves

Houston Astros against Atlanta Braves : Head to Head (H2H)

Houston Astros

17 %

Atlanta Braves

83 %

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
8 :  3
Houston Astros

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  11
Houston Astros

Apr 17, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Apr 15, 2024 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  6
Atlanta Braves
Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Picks

Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves Key Points

  1. Atlanta has gone 6-2 vs. Houston over the last three seasons.
  2. Houston has gone 40-40 ATS (run line) at home this season; Atlanta has gone 39-37 ATS (run line) on the road.
  3. The OVER is 39-38-3 for the Astros at home and 37-35-4 for the Braves on the road.
  4. Betting Public: 44% of moneyline tickets and 59% of the handle are on the Braves.
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Our Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

Given how the series has gone and how the Astros have played over the last week, I’m a little surprised Houston is the betting favorite and has drawn a higher percentage of tickets. Hunter Brown is a solid pitcher at home, and Perez is not at his best on the road. But he doesn’t have to be against a Houston lineup struggling to make contact (.218 BA over the last week).

Our Atlanta vs. Houston Pick: Braves ML

Prediction:

 

Atlanta ML

+118
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.