Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
12/3/25 13:00
Real Madrid

Prediction:

 

Athletic Bilbao to win or draw.

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 by Carlos Zabala in LaLiga Picks

Despite their Champions League victory, Xabi Alonso's Real Madrid are still struggling to escape their difficult slump, having gone more than a month without a league win and losing first place to Barcelona. To make matters worse, they must travel to San Mamés on Wednesday to face Athletic Club. The last time Real Madrid faced Los Leones at San Mamés, they lost 1-2; Bellingham scored for Los Blancos, while Berenguer and Guruzeta scored for Athletic.

Real Madrid are having particular difficulty scoring the first goal in their matches; they didn't even score first in Greece when they beat Olympiacos 4-3. Liverpool, Elche, and last weekend Girona all managed to score first against Real Madrid in games that the Madrid side ultimately lost.

In attack, however, Real Madrid's capabilities haven't diminished; Mbappé alone has contributed six goals in his last three matches, and Vinicius has had some good performances, but Rodrygo is currently experiencing an unprecedented goal drought. Real Madrid's defense isn't entirely disastrous, but when they drop back and commit many men forward, they leave a lot of space that opponents have been able to exploit; this is how Girona scored against them last weekend.

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Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
33 14 10 3 1 16
8
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
20 14 6 2 6 -3

Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid Latest Matches

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao Latest matches
L L W L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Slavia Prague
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Real Oviedo

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao
L D W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Real Oviedo

Oct 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Getafe

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Qarabag FK

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  1
Mallorca

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  1
Girona

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Arsenal
D L L L D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Slavia Prague
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W L D D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Olympiacos
3 :  4
Real Madrid

Nov 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  2
Real Madrid

Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Real Madrid

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Valencia
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Valencia

Oct 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Barcelona

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Villarreal

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Espanyol

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille
W L D D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Olympiacos
3 :  4
Real Madrid

Nov 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  2
Real Madrid

Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Real Madrid

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Athletic Bilbao against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Athletic Bilbao

17 %

Draw

17 %

Real Madrid

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
17%
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5

Apr 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Dec 4, 2024 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Mar 31, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 12, 2023 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Real Madrid

Jun 4, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 22, 2023 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Real Madrid
Compare two teams (100+ stats)

Real Madrid v Athletic Bilbao last Lineups

Athletic Bilbao

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
U. Simon
15
I. Lekue
3
D. Vivian
4
A. Paredes
17
Y. Berchiche
18
M. Jauregizar
30
A. Rego Mora
23
R. Navarro
7
A. Berenguer
10
N. Williams
11
G. Guruzeta
7
V. Junior
10
K. Mbappe
15
A. Guler
5
J. Bellingham
14
A. Tchouameni
8
F. Valverde
20
F. Garcia
22
A. Rudiger
3
E. Militao
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Real Madrid

Missing players

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Defender

Y. Alvarez

U. Egiluz

Midfielder

B. Prados

O. Sancet

I. Ruiz De Galarreta

Forward

I. Williams

M. Sannadi

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

A. Rudiger

D. Carvajal

E. Militao

D. Alaba

Midfielder

F. Mastantuono

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Athletic Bilbao
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Spain G. Guruzeta (4 Goals)
Spain R. Navarro (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (23 Goals)
Best assists
Spain A. Berenguer (3 Assists)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (7 Assists)

Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid Stats in LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
43%
Victories
71%
14%
Draw
21%
43%
Defeats
7%
2.21
Total goals per match
3
1
Goals scored per match
2.07
1.21
Goals conceded per match
0.93
36%
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
36%
BTTS
57%
29%
No goals conceded
43%

Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. None of the last seven Athletic-Real Madrid matches at San Mamés have ended in a draw
  2. Mbappé leads La Liga in goals this season with 14
  3. None of the last 12 Real Madrid-Athletic Club matches have had more than 2.5 goals
  4. Athletic Club generated an xG of 2.90 in their last match against Levante
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction

With goals from Navarro and Nico Williams, Athletic Club defeated Levante in Matchday 14 of La Liga. This leaves Athletic Bilbao, after an inconsistent start, in eighth place in the league table, while in the Champions League they sit outside the qualification zone with just 4 points from 5 matches.

Ruiz de Galarreta returns to the Athletic squad after serving a suspension; however, Valverde has to contend with an injury list that stretches to 8 for the home side. Real Madrid's defensive pairing is expected to be Rüdiger and Militao, as Carvajal, Alaba, and Huijsen are all sidelined with injuries to Xabi Alonso.

Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao is: Athletic Bilbao to win or draw.

Prediction:

 

Athletic Bilbao to win or draw.

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$200 offered for betting!

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Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Picks