Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
9/5/26 10:15
Atletico Madrid

Prediction:

 

Bilbao to Score Over 1.5 Goals

+149
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks

After losing their first two games, the men from Bilbao shifted through the gears to only pick up their first win of the campaign last time out. Not only did Edin Terzic's men gain their first points of the new season, but they delivered a strong performance, especially in the final third, with Alex Berenguer, Rafa Navarro and both Inaki and Nico Williams looking very dangerous, so much so that the hosts can be fancied to hurt an Atleti team that hasn't looked too secure despite picking up a pleasing seven points. 

We are no longer looking at the defensively astute Atletico team of old. Diego Simeone's men are nowhere near as strong at the back as they once were, which means that a very capable Bilbao offensive set-up could do more damage than the early odds might indicate. At +149, those looking to bet on this LaLiga fixture should consider 'Bilbao to Score Over 1.5 Goals'. 

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Atletico Madrid
7 3 2 1 0 +4
12 Athletic Bilbao
3 3 1 0 2 -2

Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid Latest Matches

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao Latest matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 27, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  3
Sevilla

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burgos
0 :  3
Athletic Bilbao
L W L D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  3
Sevilla

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  2
Eibar

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

May 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Valencia

Apr 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Osasuna

Apr 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  2
Villarreal
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 27, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burgos
0 :  3
Athletic Bilbao

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Racing Santander
0 :  3
Athletic Bilbao
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
L L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 29, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Aug 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Villarreal

Aug 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid
D L W W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Villarreal

Aug 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Getafe

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Girona

May 9, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Arsenal
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Aug 29, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
5 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao against Atletico Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Athletic Bilbao

33 %

Draw

0 %

Atletico Madrid

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 31, 2024 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Apr 27, 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Feb 29, 2024 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Picks

Atletico Madrid v Athletic Bilbao last Lineups

Athletic Bilbao

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
U. Simon
12
J. Areso
4
A. Paredes
14
A. Laporte
17
Y. Berchiche
16
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
24
B. Gerenabarrena
7
A. Berenguer
8
O. Sancet
23
R. Navarro
9
I. Williams
10
A. Baena
11
A. Lookman
7
L. Kang-in
23
M. Hjulmand
8
P. Barrios
20
G. Simeone
22
A. Grimaldo
17
D. Hancko
18
M. Pubill
14
M. Llorente
13
J. Oblak

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Atletico Madrid

Substitutes

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Goalkeeper

A. Padilla

Defender

H. Rincon

J. Louis-Jean

A. Boiro

Y. Alvarez

Midfielder

A. Rego Mora

M. Jauregizar

P. Urtasan

Forward

N. Williams

M. Sannadi

A. Djalo

G. Guruzeta

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

J. Musso

Defender

J. Gimenez

D. Martinez Moreno

J. Dominguez

Midfielder

Koke

J. Castillo

R. Martinez Moya

O. Vargas

J. Cardoso

Forward

M. Cubo

C. Martin

A. Ortiz

Missing players

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Defender

D. Vivian

U. Egiluz

Midfielder

B. Prados

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

R. Le Normand

Midfielder

O. Vargas

Forward

A. Sorloth

J. Alvarez

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Athletic Bilbao
CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Spain A. Paredes (1 Goals)
Spain A. Berenguer (1 Goals)
Spain R. Navarro (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain A. Baena (3 Goals)
Best assists
Spain Y. Alvarez (1 Assists)
Spain I. Ruiz De Galarreta (1 Assists)
Ghana I. Williams (1 Assists)
Best assists
Slovakia D. Hancko (1 Assists)
Spain A. Baena (1 Assists)
Argentina G. Simeone (1 Assists)
South Korea L. Kang-in (1 Assists)
Spain P. Barrios (1 Assists)
Spain M. Llorente (1 Assists)

Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid Stats in LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
33%
Wins
67%
67%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
33%
2.67
Average goals per match
3.33
1
Goals scored per match
2.33
1.67
Goals conceded per match
1
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
33%
No goals conceded
33%
33%
Both score
67%

Athletic Bilbao - Atletico Madrid Key Points

  1. Last time out in LaLiga, the hosts scored two goals.
  2. The visitors come into this game without a clean sheet in their last two league games.
  3. Recently against Villarreal, we saw Atlético Madrid concede two goals.
  4. We also saw Atlético Madrid concede a worrying 3.60 expected goals against Villarreal.

Our Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

If the early weeks of the LaLiga season are anything to go by, then Atleti are going to struggle to lay down any type of serious title challenge this term. Sure, they have lots of offensive quality, while they'll still dominate most of their games, but defensively, they look miles off it. The way in which they really struggled to contain Villarreal's offense during the second round of games does not point towards them keeping it tight against a Bilbao team that should be feeling confident off the back of a very creative and incisive display against Celta Vigo. 

Our Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Pick: Bilbao to Score Over 1.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Bilbao to Score Over 1.5 Goals

+149
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.