Italy - Serie A
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by Erik Gibbs in Serie A Picks
Atalanta and Fiorentina meet this weekend at the Gewiss Stadium in a "crisis derby" between two historic Italian clubs desperately seeking to reverse dreadful starts to their campaigns. Atalanta, currently sitting in 13th place, has been a shadow of the high-flying side that regularly challenged for Europe in recent years.
Under new manager Raffaele Palladino, La Dea has struggled to find consistency, enduring a poor run of form that includes three losses in their last five outings. The transition from the Gasperini era has been rockier than anticipated, with the team lacking its trademark intensity and pressing cohesion.
However, if Atalanta's situation is worrying, Fiorentina's is catastrophic. The Viola sit 19th in the table and are still searching for their first victory of the season after 12 matches. With a record of six draws and six defeats, Paolo Vanoli's side looks devoid of confidence and toothless in attack.
They have managed just 10 goals all season, and their inability to convert draws into wins has left them squarely in the relegation zone. This match represents a pivotal moment for both clubs; a win could spark a revival, while a loss would deepen the gloom significantly.
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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
13 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
|
19
|
6 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -9 |
Atalanta and Fiorentina Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 22, 2025 - Serie A
Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A
Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 1, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League
Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 4, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 22, 2025 - Serie A
Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 1, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 25, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 27, 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 27, 2025 - Conference League
Nov 22, 2025 - Serie A
Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A
Nov 6, 2025 - Conference League
Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 29, 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 27, 2025 - Conference League
Nov 22, 2025 - Serie A
Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 26, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 2, 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A
Nov 6, 2025 - Conference League
Oct 29, 2025 - Serie A
Oct 23, 2025 - Conference League
Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A
Atalanta against Fiorentina : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A
Sep 15, 2024 - Serie A
Jun 2, 2024 - Serie A
Apr 24, 2024 - Coppa Italia
Apr 3, 2024 - Coppa Italia
Sep 17, 2023 - Serie A
Fiorentina v Atalanta last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
M. Bakker
G. Scalvini
T. Lamptey
R. Gosens
ForwardC. Kouame
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Fiorentina
C. De Ketelaere
(3 Goals)
, 
L. Samardzic
(3 Goals)
A. Gudmundsson
(3 Goals)
, 
R. Mandragora
(3 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(3 Assists)
N. Fortini
(1 Assists)
,
H. Caviglia
(1 Assists)
,
C. Ndour
(1 Assists)
,
A. Gudmundsson
(1 Assists)
,
M. Kean
(1 Assists)
, 
S. Sohm
(1 Assists)
,
R. Piccoli
(1 Assists)
,
E. Kouadio
(1 Assists)
Atalanta and Fiorentina Stats in Serie A
Atalanta - Fiorentina Key Points
- Atalanta are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games
- Fiorentina are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 2-3 in Atalanta's last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in Fiorentina's lst 5 games
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Our Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction
Atalanta is dealing with defensive absences, with Mitchel Bakker out and Giorgio Scalvini a major doubt with a muscle issue. This places pressure on their backline, but their attack, led by Ademola Lookman and Mario Pašalić, remains their saving grace. They still possess the individual quality to unlock defenses, something Fiorentina severely lacks. The visitors are also hamstrung by injuries, with Tariq Lamptey and Robin Gosens sidelined, further depleting their options on the flanks.
Despite Atalanta's struggles, they hold the upper hand here purely based on squad depth and home advantage. Fiorentina's complete lack of winning form makes them impossible to back with any confidence. The betting markets have Atalanta as favorites (around 1.79), and rightfully so.
While it may not be a classic fluid Atalanta performance, they should have enough quality in the final third to edge past a Fiorentina team that seems to have forgotten how to win. Expect a nervy, scrappy encounter, but one where the hosts finally give their fans something to cheer about. Our prediction for Atalanta vs. Fiorentina: Over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
