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Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Atalanta
10/28/25 15:45
AC Milan

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

+105
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Serie A Picks

There's midweek action in the Italian top division coming our way. On Tuesday evening, two games are due to take place, including Atalanta vs AC Milan. This is an intriguing fixture between two teams that aren't giving much away right now. Both the hosts and the visitors are proving hard to beat, with neither losing recently, making this far from an easy game to call. At the same time, both teams approach this game with an eye on bouncing back, following Atalanta's draw last time out, while the Milan boys also failed to get the job done in their most recent fixture. When the pair last met at Gewiss Stadium, the hosts came out on top, while it is indeed the men from Bergamo that have had the best of this fixture in recent times, winning four of the last five. Let's see what happens this time.
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Atalanta vs AC Milan Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
AC Milan
AC Milan
17 8 5 2 1 7
7
Atalanta
Atalanta
12 8 2 6 0 6

Atalanta and AC Milan Latest Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Latest matches
L W D W D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 25, 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  1
Atalanta

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Slavia Prague

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Lazio

Oct 4, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Como 1907

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Club Brugge

Sep 27, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Atalanta
L D W W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Slavia Prague

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Lazio

Oct 4, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Como 1907

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Club Brugge

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  1
Lecce

Aug 24, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Pisa SC
W L D L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 25, 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  1
Atalanta

Sep 27, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Atalanta

Sep 21, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  3
Atalanta

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
4 :  0
Atalanta

Aug 30, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Atalanta

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
4 :  0
Atalanta
AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
W W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 24, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

Sep 20, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan
W L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 24, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

Oct 19, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

Sep 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna

Aug 23, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cremonese
W D L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan

Sep 20, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan

Aug 29, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jul 31, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

Atalanta against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

67 %

Draw

17 %

AC Milan

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Apr 20, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Atalanta

Dec 6, 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
AC Milan

Feb 25, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Atalanta

Jan 10, 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  2
Atalanta

Dec 9, 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  2
AC Milan

Feb 26, 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta
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AC Milan v Atalanta last Lineups

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

29
M. Carnesecchi
19
B. Djimsiti
4
I. Hien
15
M. De Roon
16
R. Bellanova
13
Ederson
8
M. Pasalic
59
N. Zalewski
17
C. De Ketelaere
11
A. Lookman
90
N. Krstovic
10
R. Leao
7
S. Gimenez
33
D. Bartesaghi
14
L. Modric
4
S. Ricci
19
Y. Fofana
56
A. Saelemaekers
31
S. Pavlovic
46
M. Gabbia
5
K. De Winter
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

M. Bakker

G. Scalvini

S. Kolasinac

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

Defender

P. Estupinan

Midfielder

A. Jashari

A. Rabiot

R. Loftus-Cheek

Forward

C. Balentien

C. Pulisic

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Serbia L. Samardzic (2 Goals) , 
Ghana K. Sulemana (2 Goals) , 
Montenegro N. Krstovic (2 Goals) , 
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (2 Goals) , 
Croatia M. Pasalic (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (4 Goals)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (3 Assists)
Best assists
Croatia L. Modric (2 Assists) , 
USA C. Pulisic (2 Assists)

Atalanta and AC Milan Stats in Serie A

Atalanta
Atalanta
AC Milan
AC Milan
25%
Victories
63%
75%
Draw
25%
0%
Defeats
13%
2.25
Total goals per match
2.38
1.5
Goals scored per match
1.63
0.75
Goals conceded per match
0.75
25%
Over 2.5
63%
75%
Under 2.5
38%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
No goals conceded
50%

Atalanta - AC Milan Key Points

  1. The visitors have kept a clean sheet in three out of three on the road in Serie A this season.
  2. The hosts have conceded just one goal in their last three home games in all competitions.
  3. More than two goals have been scored in just two of Atalanta's six home games in all competition this season.
  4. Five of Atalanta's last six games overall have contained less than three goals.
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Our Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction

Defenses could easily be on top in Bergamo, let's be honest. In general, the hosts have kept it very low-key of late, conceding just one goal in their last three, and they're clearly prioritizing defensive stability. Ivan Juric's men have kept back-to-back clean sheets at home, while they've only scored and conceded a total of four goals in their last four games. Low key stuff indeed.

The fact that the visitors have kept regular clean sheets on the road fuels the fire further, making odds of +105 look a little too generous to ignore. Our Atalanta vs AC Milan Pick: Under 2.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

+105
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Atalanta vs AC Milan Picks
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