Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction & Picks - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Simon Day | in Premier League Picks
Aston Villa will move to within five points of Premier League leaders Arsenal if they can overcome in-form Leeds at Villa Park on Saturday afternoon.
Villa will be going into the game without several key midfield players (including John McGinn, Boubacar Kamara and Youri Tielemans), and their recent results have reflected the problems caused by those absences. Last week's FA Cup reverse at home to Newcastle means that Villa have now lost three of their last four home matches. Unless boss Unai Emery can find a solution to his side's home woes, it is hard to see Villa forcing their way into the title race.
Leeds are currently six points above the Premier League relegation zone, following an excellent run of results that has seen them lose just two of their last 13 fixtures. Daniel Farke's side have also progressed to the last 16 in the FA Cup thanks to a shoot out victory over Birmingham City last weekend, so they will travel to Villa Park full of confidence.
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Aston Villa vs Leeds Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
65 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 |
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
Aston Villa and Leeds Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup
Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 29, 2026 - Europa League
Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup
Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 29, 2026 - Europa League
Jan 18, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 3, 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League
Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup
Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League
Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 15, 2026 - FA Cup
Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 6, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 26, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 6, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League
Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League
Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 15, 2026 - FA Cup
Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 26, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup
Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League
Aston Villa against Leeds : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League
Jan 13, 2023 - Premier League
Oct 2, 2022 - Premier League
Mar 10, 2022 - Premier League
Feb 9, 2022 - Premier League
Feb 27, 2021 - Premier League
Aston Villa against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
J. Wright
DefenderL. Digne
P. Torres
V. Lindelof
MidfielderL. Bogarde
A. Garcia
R. Barkley
J. Sancho
T. Abraham
L. Perri
DefenderJ. Bijol
S. Bornauw
MidfielderS. Longstaff
A. Tanaka
ForwardJ. Piroe
G. Wilfried
D. James
L. Nmecha
Missing players
J. McGinn
Y. Tielemans
B. Kamara
N. Okafor
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Leeds
O. Watkins
(16 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
L. Digne
(6 Assists)
,
M. Rogers
(6 Assists)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
Aston Villa - Leeds Key Points
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Leeds' last 9 matches
- Villa have won just 1 of their last 4 home matches
- Leeds have lost just 2 of their last 15 matches
- Leeds have scored in 8 of their last 9 games
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Our Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction
Aston Villa's home form has been very poor in recent weeks, whilst Leeds have improved considerably on the road since the turn of the year.
As such, we think that the odds of just 1.70 on a Villa home win look far too short.
There is an argument for backing the visitors at a very long looking 4.40, but we think the value lies in taking a score draw at slightly shorter odds.
Our prediction for Aston Villa vs Leeds United is: Draw and both teams to score.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
