Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Prediction & Picks - WTA Wimbledon Championships
WTA - WTA Wimbledon Championships
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Strutting a sharp form on grass, Naomi Osaka will attempt to take Aryna Sabalenka to the limit in their fourth-round clash at the 2026 Wimbledon Open.
Current Form:
Aryna Sabalenka breezed through to the fourth round of the 2026 Wimbledon Open with a clinical win over Jelena Ostapenko 6-4, 6-4. Sabalenka outgunned the hard-hitting Ostapenko by firing aces, winning 71 percent of her first serves and breaking the Latvian four times in the match. Sabalenka is 5-1 on grass this year.
Naomi Osaka made it into the round of 16 with a dominant win over former top-10 Daria Kasatkina 6-1, 6-3. Like Sabalenka, Osaka has yet to drop a set and is winning 78.2 percent of her first balls in this tournament.
The Matchup: Sabalenka has won her last five meetings with Osaka, including a 7-5, 6-3 demolition of the Japanese at Roland Garros several weeks ago. However, Osaka is coming into their first grass-court duel with massive momentum after reaching the final at Bad Homburg and boasting a 7-1 record on grass this year.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 3, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 20, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 19, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 17, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jul 3, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 26, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Jun 25, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Jun 23, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Aryna Sabalenka against Naomi Osaka : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Jun 1, 2026 - WTA French Open
Apr 27, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Mar 10, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka Key Points
- Aryna Sabalenka is 46-22 on grass.
- Aryna Sabalenka reached the semifinals of the 2026 Wimbledon Open three times.
- Naomi Osaka is 31-21 on grass.
- Naomi Osaka has two career wins over a top-ranked player.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Aryna Sabalenka staves off spirited challenge from Naomi Osaka 6-4, 3-6, 7-5
The Difference Maker: Sabalenka has already created 25 break points in this tournament, converting 12.
Osaka, on the other hand, has only faced 11 breakpoints and dropped only two service games so far.
However, the Japanese has not converted more than one breakpoint in each of her last five meetings with Sabalenka. The last time she broke the Belarusian multiple times was at the 2018 US Open, when Osaka secured four breakpoint conversions on her way to a 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 win.
What to Expect: Osaka will finally break Sabalenka multiple times for the first time in eight years. This will allow Osaka to push Sabalenka to three sets before running out of gas once more against the world’s No.1
Our betting prediction for Naomi Osaka vs. Aryna Sabalenka: Yes – Both Players Win A Set
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