Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Prediction & Picks - WTA Brisbane
WTA - WTA Brisbane
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Karolina Muchova is 3-1 head-to-head against Aryna Sabalenka.
On Saturday, Muchova takes on the world’s No.1 again, this time, for a spot in the final of the WTA 500 Brisbane International.
Best Pick: Karolina Muchova +4.5 Games (+104)
Potential Payout: $204 on a $100 Bet at FanDuel
Current Form:
Muchova enters the semifinals of the 2026 Brisbane International in blazing form after grinding out a win over WTA Tour Finals champion Elena Rybakina, 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 in Friday’s quarterfinals. Muchova hacked out the win by coming through with big points in the crucial moments of the match. The Czech scored three breakpoint conversions, the last of which gave her a 5-4 lead, and the serve for the win in the third set.
Meanwhile, Sabalenka blasted her Australian Open conqueror, Madison Keys, 6-3, 6-3 to punch her ticket to the semifinals. Sabalenka recorded 31 return points to secure five breakpoint conversions, keeping Keys at bay throughout the match. Sabalenka has scored 76 percent of her first balls and posted 46.7 percent breakpoint conversion rate.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Muchova Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 8, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Jan 7, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Jan 5, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Nov 8, 2025 - WTA Finals
Nov 7, 2025 - WTA Finals
Nov 6, 2025 - WTA Finals
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 8, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Jan 7, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Jan 6, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Oct 24, 2025 - Japan Women's Open
Oct 22, 2025 - Japan Women's Open
Oct 15, 2025 - Ningbo Open
Aryna Sabalenka against Karolina Muchova : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
Oct 4, 2024 - WTA China Open
Aug 19, 2023 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Jun 8, 2023 - WTA French Open
Oct 26, 2019 - WTA Elite Trophy
Aryna Sabalenka - Karolina Muchova Key Points
- Aryna Sabalenka defeated Madison Keys 6-3, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Brisbane International.
- Aryna Sabalenka has won 76 percent of her first serves at the 2026 Brisbane International.
- Karolina Muchova defeated Elena Rybakina, 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Brisbane International.
- Karolina Muchova is 3-1 vs. Aryna Sabalenka
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Aryna Sabalenka takes down Karolina Muchova 7-6, 6-4
Reasoning: I predict Sabalenka to finally solve the Muchova puzzle in a gritty, straight-set win. Muchova’s win over Rybakina is impressive, but the Czech has to unlock a new level of play to get a chance at another upset against the world’s No.1. Sabalenka looked fantastic in her demolition of Keys, establishing herself as a clear-cut favorite to win the title in Brisbane. However, Muchova should give Sabalenka some tense moments in this match, especially in the first set, where the Czech is deadlier.
Our betting prediction for Karolina Muchova vs. Aryna Sabalenka: Karolina Muchova +4.5 Games
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