Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction & Picks - WTA Wimbledon Championships
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Aryna Sabalenka looks to withstand a big test from Jelena Ostapenko in the third round of the 2026 Wimbledon Open.
Current Form:
Aryna Sabalenka, who demolished her first two opponents at SW19, is in for a rough outing against Jelena Ostapenko in the third round. Sabalenka blasted Teodora Kostovic 6-2, 6-3 and McCartney Kessler 6-1, 7-6 to keep her title bid alive. However, a bigger test lies ahead as she faces Ostapenko, whose high-risk, high-reward play could deal heavy once her shots find their marks.
After shaking off Harriet Dart in the first round, Ostapenko made quick work of Antonia Ruzic 6-2, 6-0. The Latvian is winning 74 percent of her first serves and converting 52 percent of breakpoints in this tournament. Ostapenko is 5-1 on grass in 2026.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Jelena Ostapenko Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 1, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 20, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 19, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 17, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 3, 2026 - WTA French Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 1, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 25, 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
Jun 24, 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
Jun 22, 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
May 27, 2026 - WTA French Open
Aryna Sabalenka against Jelena Ostapenko : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Apr 21, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
May 15, 2024 - WTA Rome
Feb 22, 2023 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko Key Points
- Aryna Sabalenka is 3-1 vs. Jelena Ostapenko
- Aryna Sabalenka has faced only 5 breakpoints at the 2026 Wimbledon Open.
- Jelena Ostapenko has converted 12 of 23 breakpoints at the 2026 Wimbledon Open.
- Jelena Ostapenko is winning 74 percent of her first serves at the 2026 Wimbledon Open.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Aryna Sabalenka fends off Jelena Ostapenko in a three-set win 3-6, 6-4, 6-2
The Difference Maker: Sabalenka has beaten Ostapenko in 3 out of 4 meetings, though the Latvian dominated the world’s No.1 6-4, 6-1 in the final at Stuttgart a year ago.
Regardless, Sabalenka should enjoy a clear advantage in this upcoming meeting, especially if she continues to destroy her opponents on the serve. Sabalenka has won 78.9 percent of her first serves and faced only 5 breakpoints in two matches at Wimbledon.
Ostapenko is a decent returner with power in her forehand and backhand shots, but Sabalenka can get her points in various ways without relying on brute strength.
What to Expect: Sabalenka could drop the first set, but she will come back strong in the second and third sets to score a comeback win over Ostapenko.
Our betting prediction for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Aryna Sabalenka 2-1 Sets
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
