WTA - WTA Cincinnati Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
The last three meetings between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina needed an extra set to decide a winner.
On Friday, these two top-caliber WTA campaigners face off again with a spot in the Cincinnati Open semifinals on the line. The total for this game is set at 22.5 games.
Sabelenka will be playing Rybakina for the 12th time in their storied rivalry on Friday. Sabalenka has a commanding 7-3 head-to-head series lead, but the Kazakh has won four of the last six meetings. The world’s No.1 secured her spot in the quarterfinals of this WTA 1000 event after sweeping Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-1 7-5 in the round of 16. Sabalenka needed a straight-set win to reassert her dominance over the rest of the field after barely winning her third-round clash with an in-form Emma Raducanu 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(5).
Meanwhile, Rybakina has played and survived three consecutive three-set matches to reach the quarterfinals, becoming the unofficial marathon queen in Cincinnati. In her last win over Madison Keys, Rybakina stormed back from a set down to knock over the reigning Australian Open champion 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2. Rybakina improved her 2025 hard-court record to 24-9 and 2025 WTA season slate to 40-15.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 13, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 11, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 9, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Jul 10, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 8, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 6, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 13, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 11, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 9, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 6, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 4, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 2, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
Aryna Sabalenka against Elena Rybakina : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jun 20, 2025 - WTA Berlin Open
Nov 6, 2024 - WTA Doha
May 2, 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Jan 7, 2024 - WTA Brisbane
Nov 2, 2023 - WTA Doha
Mar 19, 2023 - WTA Indian Wells
Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina Key Points
- Elena Rybakina defeated Madison Keys 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 in the fourth round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
- Elena Rybakina is 24-9 on the hard court in 2025.
- Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-1 7-5 in the fourth round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
- Aryna Sabalenka is the defending Cincinnati Open champion.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Aryna Sabalenka, Elena Rybakina duel to another three-set showdown.
quarterfinal matchup won’t be an easy assignment for either competitor since their head-to-head history shows they are quite evenly matched, even though Sabalenka carries a 7-4 lead. Out of their 12 career meetings, 8 matches went the distance, including the last three matches. Sabalenka earned her 7th career win over Sabalenka in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Berlin Ladies Open, 7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(6) .
Both players are potent on the hard court, so expect fireworks and drama as these two battle it out for a place in the Cincinnati Open semis. Sabalenka opened as a slight favorite at -182, while Rybakina is booked as an underdog at +150. The moneyline and spread markets carry a lot of risk given the unpredictable nature of their series. This leaves the total as the most intriguing market for this match. The Over 23.5 Games (-112) looks like a logical pick, as over half of the total matches between Sabalenka and Rybakina went the distance.
Our betting prediction for Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka: Total Over 23.5 GamesGrab an extra $300 for your Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina wager!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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