San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The San Diego Padres, 7-3 vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks in their last 10 meetings, eye another convincing win over their NL West rival in Game 1 of their fresh series on Monday.
Current Form:
The San Diego Padres snapped an 8-game losing streak with a 5-2 win over the LA Dodgers in the final game of their four-game series. The win marked the first time in nine games that San Diego held a team to two runs or fewer.
The Arizona Diamondbacks dropped 2 out of 3 games in their last series against the Milwaukee Brewers. The D-Backs share the same 44-45 record as the Padres, trailing the LA Dodgers by a whopping 14 games.
Starting Pitchers:
Diamondbacks RHP Brandon Pfaadt (5.40 ERA, 33 Ks) surrendered one earned run over 5.1 innings in an 8-2 win over the San Francisco Giants. Pfaadt carries a 6.58 ERA over his last five starts.
Padres RHP Walker Buehler (5-4, 4.61 ERA) gave up 9 earned runs over 4.0 innings in a 3-23 loss to the Cubs on July 2. Before that horrendous outing, Buehler had not allowed more than one run in any of his five starts in June.
The Matchup: The Padres have won 7 of their last 3 meetings with the D-Backs. San Diego had won six consecutive matches against Arizona before it ended with a 12-7 loss on April 26.
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San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.529 | 119 | 63 | 56 |
|
10
|
0.521 | 119 | 62 | 57 |
San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jul 5, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 5, 2026 - MLB
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Jul 1, 2026 - MLB
Jun 30, 2026 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 28, 2026 - MLB
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San Diego Padres against Arizona Diamondbacks : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Apr 26, 2026 - MLB
Apr 25, 2026 - MLB
Mar 22, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 15, 2026 - MLB Spring Training
Sep 28, 2025 - MLB
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San Diego Padres - Arizona Diamondbacks Key Points
- Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games against San Diego.
- Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
- San Diego is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home.
- San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona.
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Our San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Padres down the D-Backs in Game 1, 4-1
The Difference Maker: The Padres have pretty much owned the D-Backs in their recent series. San Diego has outscored Arizona by an average of 8.33 to 6.67 runs per game over their last 10 meetings.
Moreover, Walker Buehler has an opportunity to redeem himself in this upcoming start against Arizona, six days after giving up nine runs against the Cubs on July 1. Buehler has won his last three starts against Arizona, posting two shutouts and giving up two earned runs over 5.0 innings in his last start against the D-Backs.
What to Expect: Buehler puts up a quality start, logging six solid innings for the Padres. San Diego’s offense will also pounce on Brandon Pfaadt, who surrendered 7 earned runs over 4 innings in his last start vs. the Padres.
Our betting prediction for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. the San Diego Padres: The Padres -1.5 Runs
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