Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
7/26/25 18:40
Arizona Diamondbacks

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-124
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 by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Pittsburgh Pirates continue their weekend series today, meeting for Game 2 at PNC Park. Both clubs are enduring tough seasons and sit near the bottom of their respective divisions, but each is hoping to build some momentum in the second half of the year. Arizona claimed the opener on Friday with a narrow 1-0 victory, backed by solid pitching and just enough offense to squeeze past the Pirates.

The Diamondbacks bring a 51-53 record into Saturday’s game, placing them fourth in the National League West. While still within shouting distance of a .500 record, the team has begun offloading some of its talent ahead of the trade deadline, a clear sign that management is pivoting toward the future.

Despite the overall struggles, Arizona did show some promise coming out of the All-Star break by sweeping the Cardinals at home. However, any momentum they built quickly evaporated after getting swept themselves by the Astros before heading to Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh, meanwhile, holds a 42-62 mark, the worst in the NL Central. Their second half got off to a similarly rocky start as they were swept by the lowly Chicago White Sox. But the Pirates responded with a bit of resilience, bouncing back with a three-game sweep of the Detroit Tigers earlier this week. Still, inconsistency continues to plague this young team, and they’ll need a sharp performance today to even the series.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
18 Arizona Diamondbacks
0.494 162 80 82
26 Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  1
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  5
Detroit Tigers

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  7
Chicago White Sox

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  10
Chicago White Sox
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  1
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  1
Detroit Tigers

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  5
Detroit Tigers

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  0
Detroit Tigers

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  7
Chicago White Sox

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  10
Chicago White Sox
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
12 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
9 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  1
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
3 :  4
Houston Astros

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  3
Houston Astros

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
3 :  6
Houston Astros

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
10 :  1
St. Louis Cardinals
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
3 :  4
Houston Astros

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  3
Houston Astros

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
3 :  6
Houston Astros

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
10 :  1
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
7 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  1
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
1 :  5
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
10 :  5
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
6 :  5
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
4 :  3
Arizona Diamondbacks

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  8
Arizona Diamondbacks

Pittsburgh Pirates against Arizona Diamondbacks : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

33 %

Arizona Diamondbacks

67 %

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 :  1
Arizona Diamondbacks

May 27, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
6 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 26, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 4, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  6
Arizona Diamondbacks

Aug 3, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks

Aug 2, 2024 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  9
Arizona Diamondbacks

Pittsburgh Pirates - Arizona Diamondbacks Key Points

  1. The Diamondbacks are 27-23 covering the run line after a win
  2. The Pirates are 32-29 covering the run line after a loss
  3. The Over is 23-25-2 for the Diamondbacks after a win
  4. The Over is 20-40-1 for the Pirates after a loss

Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

On the mound for the Pirates is veteran lefty Andrew Heaney, making his 21st start of the season. It’s been a rough stretch for Heaney, who is 1-5 over his last seven starts with a bloated 9.40 ERA. In his most recent outing, he was tagged for seven earned runs on nine hits in just four innings against the White Sox.

Arizona counters with right-hander Merrill Kelly, who will make his 22nd start of the year. The Diamondbacks have gone 11-10 when Kelly starts, and the 36-year-old has been one of their more dependable arms. He’s coming off back-to-back wins, including a strong six-inning effort against St. Louis in which he allowed just two runs and avoided giving up a home run for the second straight game.

With their top pitcher on the hill and some positive momentum from Game 1, Arizona enters this matchup with a clear edge. If Kelly can maintain his recent form and the bats provide modest run support, the Diamondbacks should be in position to take a 2-0 series lead on the road. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: Diamondbacks to win.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks