Boston Red Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Boston Red Sox (66-58, 29-31 Home) will try to get back on track tonight when they host the Arizona Diamondbacks (66-59, 30-32 Away) at Fenway Park. Fans can follow the action on MLB.TV once the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. EST.
Boston is coming off a road trip that did not go too well for them as they lost five of seven, going 1-3 vs. Toronto and 1-2 vs. the Pirates. Arizona lost the series finale to the Braves in Atlanta Sunday, but won the first two games in the series 2-0 and 10-3.
The Red Sox are expected to turn to Alec Gamboa to get things started. A reliever, Gamboa has appeared in nine games this season (0 starts) with a 1.59 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Teams have hit .233 against him. He’s appeared in four games at home (10 1/3 innings) where he has a 2.61 ERA and a .256 OBA. The three earned runs he has allowed all came at home.
As for the D-backs, Arizona is scheduled to go with Mitch Bratt. Bratt has a 3.74 ERA and a 1-1 record in seven starts with a 1.40 WHIP. Teams have hit .230 against him. However, he has struggled on the road, where he is 0-1 in four starts with a 5.63 ERA and a .250 OBA.
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Boston Red Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
0.537 | 162 | 87 | 75 |
|
10
|
0.531 | 162 | 86 | 76 |
Boston Red Sox and Arizona Diamondbacks Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 16, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 12, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Boston Red Sox against Arizona Diamondbacks : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
Aug 25, 2024 - MLB
Boston Red Sox - Arizona Diamondbacks Key Points
- Boston leads the all-time series vs. Arizona, 16-14.
- Boston is 27-33 ATS (run line) at home; Arizona is 33-29 ATS (run line) on the road.
- The OVER is25-32-3 for the Red Sox at home and 26-34-2 for the D-backs on the road.
- Betting Public: 48% of total tickets and 41% of the handle are on the UNDER.
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
For a time, Boston was the hottest team in baseball and one no one wanted to face. But they have since cooled down. The lineup isn’t making a ton of noise lately (.244 over the last week, next to .271 for the D-backs). But both have averaged right around four runs per game (Arizona—21 over five games; Boston—25 over six). Bratt has been a solid pitcher, so I don’t see the Red Sox going off on him. Boston’s bullpen has the lowest ERA in baseball, so I don’t see the D-backs lineup teeing off either.
Our Arizona vs. Boston Pick: UNDER 9
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