Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The total Over 8.5 runs has gained steam ahead of Game 1 between the Baltimore Orioles and the Arizona Diamondbacks. Both teams are averaging at least 5.0 runs per game in their last five games.
Momentum: Both teams are red hot coming into this week. The Baltimore Orioles have won five of their last six games, which features a sweep of the Chicago White Sox and a 2-1 series win over the San Francisco Giants over the weekend. The Arizona Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last five games, backed by a pair of 2-1 series wins over the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.
Matchup: The Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last four meetings with the Birds. However, Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 road games against Baltimore.
Starters: Diamondbacks RHP Ryne Nelson (1-1, 4.20 ERA) will likely face Orioles lefty Trevor Rogers (2-0, 1.89 ERA).
Batters to Watch: D-Backs right fielder Corbin Carroll is batting .327 with two homers and 11 RBIs this season.
Orioles shortstop Gunnar Henderson is batting .242 with six homers and 12 RBIs this season. He’s on a six-game hit streak and has recorded at least one hit in 8 out of the Orioles’ 10 games this April.
Hot on the Board: As expected, the Diamondbacks are +109 road underdogs and -194 if they can prevent the Orioles from beating them by two runs. The Orioles are +159 on the -1.5 run line and -131 on the moneyline. The total is set at over/under 8.5 runs.
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Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
0.5 | 82 | 41 | 41 |
|
22
|
0.464 | 84 | 39 | 45 |
Baltimore Orioles and Arizona Diamondbacks Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 12, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 12, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 8, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 12, 2026 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 5, 2026 - MLB
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Apr 1, 2026 - MLB
Mar 31, 2026 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 12, 2026 - MLB
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Baltimore Orioles against Arizona Diamondbacks : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
Apr 9, 2025 - MLB
Apr 8, 2025 - MLB
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May 12, 2024 - MLB
Baltimore Orioles - Arizona Diamondbacks Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games against an opponent in the American League.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games against an opponent in the American League East Division division.
- Arizona and Baltimore are averaging at least 5.0 runs over their last five games.
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Our Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Orioles protect home court, downing the D-Backs 5-4
Sharp Play: The total Over 8.5 runs. Apart from the fact that these teams have averaged more than five runs in their last five games, the total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games against an American League opponent and in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home.
D-Backs projected starter Ryne Nelson allowed 3 earned runs in 4.2 innings in his first and lone start vs. the Orioles on May 11, 2024, while the Orioles’ starters have posted a 4.32 ERA this season.
Our betting prediction for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. the Baltimore Orioles: Total Over 8.5 Runs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
