Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction & Picks - NFL

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Indianapolis Colts
10/12/25 13:00
Arizona Cardinals

Prediction:

 

Indianapolis Colts win both halves

+105
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 by Erik Gibbs | in NFL Picks

The Arizona Cardinals and Indianapolis Colts square off on Sunday in a game marked by vastly different storylines. For Arizona, the trip to Indianapolis comes on the heels of one of the most crushing defeats in franchise memory. The Cardinals held a 22–8 lead over Tennessee late in the fourth quarter when running back Emari Demercado appeared to break free for a 72-yard touchdown that would have sealed the win. Instead, he dropped the ball inches before crossing the goal line, and the Titans capitalized on the error—staging a dramatic 16-point comeback to steal a 22–21 victory.

Head coach Jonathan Gannon was visibly furious on the sidelines, berating Demercado in front of teammates and cameras before later apologizing for his outburst. The emotional exchange symbolized the team’s broader frustrations with a season full of near-misses. The loss also left Arizona battered physically. Quarterback Kyler Murray left the game with a toe injury and is currently listed as questionable. Tight end Tip Reiman (ankle) and linebacker Cody Simon (knee) have both been ruled out, leaving major holes on both sides of the ball.

Meanwhile, Indianapolis continues to defy early-season skeptics. The Colts are 4–1 after dismantling the Raiders 40–6, cementing themselves as legitimate AFC South contenders. Their offense has been lethal in the red zone—leading the league with 12 touchdowns in goal-to-go situations—and quarterback Daniel Jones is experiencing a resurgence. With 1,290 passing yards and a 71.3% completion rate, he’s been both accurate and efficient. Running back Jonathan Taylor continues to thrive, scoring three touchdowns last week as the offense clicked on all cylinders.

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
20 Indianapolis Colts
0.471 17 8 9
30 Arizona Cardinals
0.176 17 3 14

Indianapolis Colts and Arizona Cardinals Latest Matches

Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
40 :  6
Las Vegas Raiders

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
27 :  20
Indianapolis Colts

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
20 :  41
Indianapolis Colts

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
29 :  28
Denver Broncos

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
33 :  8
Miami Dolphins

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
26 :  23
Jacksonville Jaguars
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
40 :  6
Las Vegas Raiders

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
29 :  28
Denver Broncos

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
33 :  8
Miami Dolphins

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
26 :  23
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
38 :  30
Tennessee Titans

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
6 :  24
Detroit Lions
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
27 :  20
Indianapolis Colts

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
20 :  41
Indianapolis Colts

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

New York Giants
45 :  33
Indianapolis Colts

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Denver Broncos
31 :  13
Indianapolis Colts

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

New England Patriots
24 :  25
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  28
Indianapolis Colts
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
21 :  22
Tennessee Titans

Sep 25, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
20 :  23
Seattle Seahawks

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
16 :  15
Arizona Cardinals

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
27 :  22
Carolina Panthers

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
13 :  20
Arizona Cardinals

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
47 :  24
San Francisco 49ers
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
21 :  22
Tennessee Titans

Sep 25, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
20 :  23
Seattle Seahawks

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
27 :  22
Carolina Panthers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
47 :  24
San Francisco 49ers

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
30 :  17
New England Patriots

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
18 :  30
Seattle Seahawks
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
16 :  15
Arizona Cardinals

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
13 :  20
Arizona Cardinals

Dec 28, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
13 :  9
Arizona Cardinals

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
36 :  30
Arizona Cardinals

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
23 :  22
Arizona Cardinals

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
16 :  6
Arizona Cardinals

Indianapolis Colts - Arizona Cardinals Key Points

  1. The Colts are 10-0 in their last 10 home games when favorites vs. opponents on a losing streak
  2. The Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games
  3. The Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 October games
  4. The Cardinals are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 Week 6 games

Our Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction

Not everything is perfect for Indianapolis. The team suffered a major setback when kicker Spencer Shrader tore both his ACL and MCL, ending his season. Shrader had been nearly automatic, connecting on 13 of 14 field goal attempts. Despite that loss, the Colts opened as seven-point favorites, and analytics give them a 65% chance to win at home.

Arizona’s hopes of pulling an upset hinge on Murray’s health. When he’s mobile, he’s the heartbeat of the offense—leading the team in both passing and rushing. Gannon’s public apology to Demercado may help mend morale, but Murray’s lingering toe issue remains concerning, especially against an Indianapolis defense ranked among the top five in opponent EPA. For the Cardinals to compete, star rookie Marvin Harrison Jr. will need another big game after posting 98 receiving yards last week.

While the Colts are heavy favorites, bettors shouldn’t dismiss Arizona entirely. The Cardinals have quietly gone 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games versus AFC opponents. With emotions high and both teams managing recent adversity, Sunday’s matchup could come down to which side maintains composure when the pressure mounts. Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs. Arizona Cardinals: Colts to win.

Prediction:

 

Indianapolis Colts win both halves

+105
$200 offered for betting!

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Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals Picks