Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Picks - WTA Bad Homburg Open

WTA - WTA Bad Homburg Open

WTA 30 Philippines
Alexandra Eala
6/22/26 11:30
WTA 26 Belgium
Elise Mertens

Prediction:

 

Alexandra Eala will win

+124
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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Posted at +124 ML, Alexandra Eala will try to bank on her elite-level skills on grass against Elise Mertens in the first round of the 2026 Bad Homburg Open.

Current Form:

Alexandra Eala is fresh off a semifinal run at the 2026 Berlin Ladies Open. The Filipina sensation eliminated a trio of big names in this tournament, such as Queen’s champion Donna Vekic 7-5, 6-4, world’s No.2 Elena Rybakina 7-5, 6-4, and world’s No.8 Elina Svitolina 6-3, 6-4, before succumbing to Linda Noskova 2-6, 4-6 in the semis.

Elise Mertens will try to make a deep run in her final warm-up tournament before the Wimbledon Open. Mertens only reached the second round of her first two grass-court tournaments at ‘s-Hertogenbosch and Berlin Ladies Open. Mertens is 2-2 on grass this year.

The Matchup: Mertens is 2-0 against Eala in their head-to-head series. The Belgian swept Eala 6-2, 6-1 in their most recent meeting at the 2026 WTA Madrid.

However, Eala rolls into the tournament with plenty of grass-court matches under her belt and impressive wins over top-level competition.

Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertens Form

Alexandra Eala and Elise Mertens Latest Matches

Alexandra Eala Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 20, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open

Linda Noskova
2 :  0
Alexandra Eala

Jun 19, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open

Elina Svitolina
0 :  2
Alexandra Eala

Jun 18, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open

Alexandra Eala
2 :  0
Elena Rybakina

Jun 17, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open

Donna Vekić
0 :  2
Alexandra Eala

Jun 10, 2026 - WTA London - Queen's

Iva Jovic
2 :  0
Alexandra Eala

Jun 9, 2026 - WTA London - Queen's

Shuai Zhang
0 :  2
Alexandra Eala
Elise Mertens Latest matches
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 17, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open

Elise Mertens
0 :  2
Nikola Bartunkova

Jun 15, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open

Elise Mertens
2 :  1
Liudmila Samsonova

Jun 11, 2026 - WTA Libema Open

Elena-Gabriela Ruse
2 :  0
Elise Mertens

Jun 8, 2026 - WTA Libema Open

Bianca Andreescu
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

May 28, 2026 - WTA French Open

Maja Chwalinska
2 :  0
Elise Mertens

May 25, 2026 - WTA French Open

Tatjana María
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

Alexandra Eala against Elise Mertens : Head to Head (H2H)

Alexandra Eala

0 %

Elise Mertens

100 %

Apr 24, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Elise Mertens
2 :  0
Alexandra Eala

Alexandra Eala - Elise Mertens Key Points

  1. Alexandra Eala is 24-10 on grass.
  2. Alexandra Eala has 10 wins over top-50 players in 2026.
  3. Elise Mertens is 2-2 on grass in 2026.
  4. Elise Mertens is 8-7 vs. top-50 players in 2026.

Our Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertens Prediction

Alexandra Eala gets her first win over Elise Mertens in a three-set duel.

Eala is oozing with confidence coming into Bad Homburg. In only her second grass-court swing, Eala has become a force to be reckoned with on this surface, where she boasts a 9-2 record this year and 24-10 overall.

Mertens will be relying on the areas that helped her win the first two meetings against Eala.

Mertens has captured 12 breakpoint conversions in the first two matches against the Filipina. However, Mertens should brace for a tough outing in this third match with Eala, who has vastly improved her serve on grass while maintaining her elite-level return game.

In four matches in Berlin, Eala won 68.1 percent of her first serves, saved 60 percent of breakpoints, and converted 48.1 percent of breakpoint chances.

Mertens doesn’t possess the killer serves and put-away power that usually cause problems for Eala. Mertens might have outsmarted and outcrafted Eala in their recent match on clay, but she’s not going to outpower the Filipina on grass.

Our betting prediction for Elise Mertens vs. Alexandra Eala: Alexandra Eala will win

Prediction:

 

Alexandra Eala will win

+124
$350 offered for betting!

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Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertens Picks