Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP French Open

ATP - ATP French Open

ATP 3 Germany
Alexander Zverev
6/9/24 09:10
ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 Sets

 

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 by Bradley Gibbs in ATP French Open Picks

On Sunday at Roland Garros, it's time for the men's final. Two of the best players in the world will collide at the iconic Parisian venue as Carlos Alcaraz, who is now the youngest ever player to reach a Grand Slam final on all three surfaces, takes on Alexander Zverev. There's little between the pair in the rankings, with the Spaniard currently ranking third and the German ranking fourth. Will we see the fact that little separate the two in the rankings play out on the court? Or can one of these high-ranking players make light work of claiming glory? We'll soon find out.
The early lines ahead of this fixture would suggest that Alcaraz is the most likely winner, which is about right given that he is the Grand Slam winner out of the two. At the time of writing, you can take Alcaraz to win the final at odds of around -165, while Zverev is available at odds of around +240. The match is expected to go beyond three sets, with 'Over 3.5 Sets' favoured over 'Under 3.5 Sets at the early odds, though a five-setter isn't expected, though if you do fancy this final to be something of a classic, you can bet on 'Over 4.5 Sets' at odds of +245.

Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Alexander Zverev and Carlos Alcaraz Latest Matches

Alexander Zverev Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jun 7, 2024 - ATP French Open

Casper Ruud
1 :  3
Alexander Zverev

Jun 5, 2024 - ATP French Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Jun 3, 2024 - ATP French Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  2
Holger Rune

Jun 1, 2024 - ATP French Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  2
Tallon Griekspoor

May 30, 2024 - ATP French Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  0
David Goffin

May 27, 2024 - ATP French Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  0
Rafael Nadal
Carlos Alcaraz Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jun 7, 2024 - ATP French Open

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  2
Jannik Sinner

Jun 4, 2024 - ATP French Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

Jun 2, 2024 - ATP French Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

May 31, 2024 - ATP French Open

Sebastian Korda
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

May 29, 2024 - ATP French Open

Jesper De Jong
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

May 26, 2024 - ATP French Open

Jeffrey John Wolf
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

Alexander Zverev against Carlos Alcaraz : Head to Head (H2H)

Alexander Zverev

50 %

Carlos Alcaraz

50 %

Mar 14, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Jan 24, 2024 - ATP Australian Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

Nov 13, 2023 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Sep 6, 2023 - ATP US Open

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  0
Alexander Zverev

May 2, 2023 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Alexander Zverev

May 31, 2022 - ATP French Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

Alexander Zverev - Carlos Alcaraz: Form Analysis

Both players arrive at this stage in excellent form. Alcaraz's clay-court winning run extends back only to the start of the tournament as he chose to rest and recover following his defeat to Rublev in Madrid a while back, so in that sense. Zverev is in slightly better form having won the event in Rome before attending the French Open.

Alexander Zverev & Carlos Alcaraz Squad Analysis

In terms of fitness, both players seem to have reached the final in good condition, with neither having any injury doubts. Zverev could have slightly more in terms of fitness as he had to play one less set in his semi-final, though he's also had less time to rest, having played after Alcaraz finished against Sinner.

Alexander Zverev - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. This will be the third meeting between the pair in Grand Slams.
  2. When the pair last met in a Grand Slam, they shared four sets.
  3. In two of the previous three Grand Slam meetings between the pair, more than three sets have been played.
  4. When the pair met at the French Open in 2022, they shared four sets.

Our Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Two massively in-form clay-court players clash here, so it's far from an easy match to call. I must admit that I thought Ruud had enough in the locker to defeat Zverev, so the fact that the German got the job done there, coming from a set down, shows what sort of form he's in right now. Carlos Alcaraz is also in fantastic form, winning that thrilling five-set encounter against Jannik Sinner to reach this final. Of course, Alcaraz as the two-time Grand Slam winner, is a worthy favourite and if I'm being completely honest, I'll be surprised if he doesn't come out on top here, but that's not to say it'll be easy. Looking at the lines, 'Over 3.5 Sets' looks like the best option. When the pair previously met at Roland Garros, they shared four sets and I'm betting that we see the same here. Our Prediction: Over 3.5 Sets. 

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 Sets

 

Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz - Other Interesting Picks

Carlos Alcaraz to Win 3-1

Odds +155
In addition to betting on 'Over 3.5 Sets' as a secondary option, betting on Alcaraz to win three sets to one appeals. Alcaraz has a positive clay-court record against Zverev, while he probably gained more from his semi-final win against recent Grand Slam winner Sinner than Zverev did by beating Ruud, thus leaving him better placed to earn victory here. Add in that the Spaniard won by three sets to one when the pair last met at the French Open in 2022 and such a bet stands out.

Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz match : Frequently asked questions

Alexander Zverev has not won the French Open before. Prior to reaching the final this time around, his best effort at Roland Garros was reaching the semi-final, which he did in 2023, 2022 and 2021.
Carlos Alcaraz has not won the French Open before. His best effort at Roland Garros before reaching the 2024 final was to reach the semi-final, which he did in 2023.
The Men's French Open Final will take place on Sunday, June 9th, at the local time of 15:00.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Picks