Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction & Picks - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alexander Bublik Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik ATP 22
10/11/26 03:30
Brandon Nakashima USA
Brandon Nakashima ATP 19

Prediction:

 

Brandon Nakashima to Win

-149
$150 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks

In Shanghai, during the early hours of Sunday morning, two top-25 players will lock horns. Meeting for the first time as top-level pros, Alexander Bublik and Brandon Nakashima are all set to fight for a place in the fourth round. Following a bye in the first round, Nakashima defeated Matteo Berrettini in straight sets. Bublik also had a first-round bye, before defeating Tomas Machac in straight sets last time out. 

At odds of -149, in the early market, Brandon Nakashima is quite fancied to get the job done here, and let's face it, it's easy to see why. The talent and ability of Alexander Bublik has never been in question, but his desire and consistency always have. Right now, the Kazakh player is struggling to be consistent, while he's recently struggled to contend with higher-ranked players, so much so that he deserves to be a slightly bigger underdog here. 

Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Form

Alexander Bublik and Brandon Nakashima Latest Matches

Alexander Bublik Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Tomas Machac

Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Jakub Mensik

Sep 4, 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  3
Tommy Paul

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  1
Jeffrey John Wolf

Jul 25, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Quentin Halys
Brandon Nakashima Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  3
Alex Michelsen

Aug 31, 2026 - ATP US Open

Brandon Nakashima
3 :  0
Sebastian Baez

Aug 22, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

Aug 21, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Taylor Fritz
1 :  2
Brandon Nakashima
Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Picks

Alexander Bublik - Brandon Nakashima Key Points

  1. Brandon Nakashima has won more recent hard-court matches than Alexander Bublik.
  2. Alexander Bublik lost his most recent match against a higher-ranked player.
  3. Alexander Bublik has won just three of his last eight hard-court matches.
  4. Brandon Nakashima has won seven of his last ten hard-court matches.

Our Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

As mentioned above, Alexander Bublik has won only three of his last eight hard-court matches, and not one of those wins has come against a higher-ranked player. That's a problem for those wanting to support the Kazakh player.

In contrast, Nakashima has been holding his hard-court form relatively well, typically beating lower-ranked players, while the way in which he defeated a player such as Matteo Berrettini in the previous round suggests that he's a more likely winner of this than the early odds would have us believe. 

SportyTrader's Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Pick: Brandon Nakashima to Win.

Prediction:

 

Brandon Nakashima to Win

-149
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.