Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev Prediction & Picks - UFC Fight Night

UFC - UFC Fight Night

Alex Perez
11/21/25 21:00
Asu Almabayev

Prediction:

 

Almabayev to win

-205
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 by Bill Christy | in UFC Picks

One of the best fights outside the main card this Saturday could be between two experienced Flyweights. Alex Perez (25-9) will take on Asu Amabayev (22-3) in a fight that puts the #7 vs #8 ranked Flyweights on display.

Asu is coming off a unanimous decision win over Jose Ochoa where his ability to get takedowns and use ground control worked in his favor. He collected nearly 10 minutes of control time in the victory. This was a promising bounce back win after he was finished by Manel Kape just four months prior for his 1st loss in his last 18 fights. Now he faces Alex Perez who is going to be desperate for a win.

Perez has lost 4 of his last 5 fights. The beginning of this rough stretch came after he lost to Figgy back in 2020 when he got his lone title shot. The good news for Perez is that all his recent losses have come against very strong opponents. Pantoja is now the champion, Mokaev is still undefeated and Taira has just 1 loss and currently ranks 5th in the division. He is going to need to avoid Asu’s takedowns and try to keep this one on the feet where he can use his striking advantage

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Alex Perez - Asu Almabayev Key Points

  1. Perez is 1-4 in his last 5 fights.
  2. Perez has not fought in over a year.
  3. Almabayev is 9-1 in his last 10 fights.
  4. Almabayev has already fought twice this year.
Up to $200+ to bet on Alex Perez - Asu Almabayev! 

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Our Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev Prediction

When looking at these two in the rankings, you would think this should be a much more even fight. However, we side with the oddsmakers here and believe Asu is the proper favorite. He should be able to score enough takedowns and control Perez to grind out the win. We do not expect him to allow Perez to stand and exchange for most of the rounds. We are backing Asu and the takedown game in this matchup.

Our prediction for Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev: Almabayev to win

Prediction:

 

Almabayev to win

-205
$200+ offered for betting!

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Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev Picks