Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction & Picks - ATP London - Queen's
ATP - ATP London - Queen's
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Alex De Minaur faces a manageable 3.5-game handicap against Denis Shapovalov in the second round of the 2026 HSBC Championships.
De Minaur has won the last three meetings with Shapovalov in straight sets.
Alex De Minaur sets his sights on another deep run on grass as he vies for a quarterfinal spot at Queen’s Club against the big-serving Dennis Shapovalov. After losing to Kamil Marjczak in the final of the 2026 Libema Open, De Minaur wasted no time reasserting his dominance as the No.1 seed dispatched Gabriel Diallo 7-6, 6-3 in the first round of the 2026 HSBC Championship.
Meanwhile, Shapovalov needed three full sets to defeat wild-card Jack Pinnington Jones 6-4, 4-6, 7-6. The results handed Shapovalov his first win in six matches on the ATP Tour. The Canadian is considered one of the best servers in the game, but he may need more than just big serves to take down an in-form De Minaur in their next match.
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Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Form
Alex De Minaur and Denis Shapovalov Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jun 16, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's
Jun 14, 2026 - ATP Libema Open
Jun 13, 2026 - ATP Libema Open
Jun 12, 2026 - ATP Libema Open
Jun 10, 2026 - ATP Libema Open
May 29, 2026 - ATP French Open
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jun 15, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's
Jun 8, 2026 - ATP Libema Open
May 26, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 7, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 17, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Alex De Minaur against Denis Shapovalov : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov Key Points
- Alex De Minaur is 5-1 vs. Denis Shapovalov
- Alex De Minaur has won 69 percent of his first serves in 5 grass-court matches in 2026.
- Denis Shapovalov averages 6 double faults in 2 matches on grass in 2026.
- Denis Shapovalov is 0-2 vs. top-10 players in 2026.
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction
Forecast: Alex De Minaur secures a quarterfinal spot at Queen’s after making easy work of Denis Shapovalov 6-3, 6-3.
De Minaur carries a 5-1 head-to-head record into his seventh showdown with Shapovalov on Wednesday. De Minaur has owned the Canadian in their series, winning their last five encounters and clinching straight-set wins in the last three meetings.
Shapovalov, who holds a 48 percent win rate on the grass, is still searching for his first top-10 win this year after claiming three wins over these elite players in 2025.
Unless Shapovalov finds a way to take De Minaur out of his game, he’s not going to end his losing streak against the Australian.
Our betting prediction for Denis Shapovalov vs. Alex De Minaur: Alex De Minaur -3.5 Games.
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