Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverev Prediction & Picks - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP 15 Spain
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
10/30/25 15:40
ATP 3 Germany
Alexander Zverev

Prediction:

 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +3.5 Games

-140
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 by Lou Aguila | in Rolex Paris Masters Picks

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina of Spain will duke it out with Alexander Zverev of Germany in the round of 16 at the 2025 Paris Masters on Thursday.

Zverev is a -228 favorite in this match, but Fokina boasts a winning record against the ATP top-10 players with a 5-4 slate this season.

Current Form:

Zverev dodged a bullet on Wednesday after surviving a marathon match with Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-7, 6-1, 7-5. Zverev held 15 of 16 service games by securing 51 points behind the first ball and adding 18 more off the second serves. The German also broke four times, including two big service breaks in the third set that sealed his entry into the quarterfinals. Zverev is 4-3 in indoor play in 2025.

Fokina moved on to the round of 16 with a straight-set victory over Arthur Casaux of France, 7-6, 6-4. Fokina captured 80 percent of his first serves to hold all 11 service games and broke once to put Casaux away for good. Fokina is 8-3 in indoor matches in 2025.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverev Form

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Alexander Zverev Latest Matches

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 29, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Arthur Cazaux

Oct 28, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  1
Valentin Royer

Oct 26, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Joao Fonseca

Oct 25, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Ugo Humbert
abort
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Oct 24, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Casper Ruud
abort
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Oct 22, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Jenson Brooksby
1 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alexander Zverev Latest matches
W W L W L L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 29, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Oct 26, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Jannik Sinner
2 :  1
Alexander Zverev

Oct 25, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Oct 24, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Tallon Griekspoor
withdraw
Alexander Zverev

Oct 23, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Oct 21, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Jacob Fearnley
1 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Alexander Zverev : Head to Head (H2H)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

25 %

Alexander Zverev

75 %

Apr 27, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Sep 30, 2023 - ATP Beijing Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Aug 9, 2023 - ATP Toronto

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Jun 8, 2021 - ATP French Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Compare Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Alexander Zverev with our comparison tool.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexander Zverev Key Points

  1. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 8-3 in indoor matches in 2025.
  2. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Arthur Casaux 7-6, 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 Paris Masters.
  3. Alexander Zverev defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-7, 6-1, 7-5 in the second round of the 2025 Paris Masters.
  4. Alexander Zverev is 4-3 in indoor play.

Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Zverev is 5-1 in his head-to-head series with Fokina, but the Spaniard has taken the German to a third set in their last two encounters. Fokina has a 5-4 record against the ATP top-10 this year and 27 top-10 wins throughout his career. He’s no stranger to matching up against elite competition, and Zverev understands that he will need to stay sharp to prevent an upset. I still expect Zverev to win this one, but betting-wise, betting on Fokina at -140 to cover -3.5 games makes a lot more sense in anticipation of a heavy battle on Thursday.

Our betting prediction for Alexander Zverev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +3.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +3.5 Games

-140
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverev Picks