Alavés vs Villarreal Prediction & Picks - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Erik Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks
Alavés and Villarreal meet this Friday at the Estadio de Mendizorroza in a clash that highlights the contrasting pressures of the business end of the LaLiga season. For the home side, the recent weeks have been a grueling test of character as they find themselves mired in a five-game winless streak, most recently suffering a heartbreaking 3-2 defeat to Valencia. Despite taking a late lead in that match, the Basque side crumbled in the final minutes, a recurring theme that has left them hovering just two points above the relegation zone. Manager Quique Sánchez Flores, recently appointed to steady the ship, has seen flashes of brilliance from his squad, but consistency remains elusive. Their home form has been particularly concerning, with the faithful fans at Mendizorroza waiting nearly a month to witness a victory.
Villarreal, conversely, travels north in a rich vein of form as they tighten their grip on a potential top-four finish and Champions League qualification. The Yellow Submarine extended their cushion over their rivals with a hard-fought 2-1 win over Elche last weekend, marking their third victory in their last four league outings. Under the guidance of Marcelino, Villarreal has transformed into one of the most efficient attacking units in Spain, boasting a perfect record this season against teams in the bottom half of the table. While their away form has occasionally stuttered, winning only one of their last five on the road—their ability to score late goals has rescued points in situations where they seemed destined for a draw. They enter this fixture with the confidence of a team that knows exactly how to break down a desperate defense.
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Alavés vs Villarreal Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
72 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 |
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 |
Alavés and Villarreal Latest Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 27, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 23, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 23, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Jan 25, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 27, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 30, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 10, 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 28, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 22, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 18, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 9, 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 22, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 9, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 10, 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 28, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 18, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 31, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga
Alavés against Villarreal : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Jan 10, 2026 - LaLiga
Mar 8, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 9, 2024 - LaLiga
Feb 10, 2024 - LaLiga
Oct 22, 2023 - LaLiga
Apr 30, 2022 - LaLiga
Alavés against Villarreal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
G. Swiderski
R. Fernandez
DefenderX. Ibarzabal
V. Koski
P. Sanz
C. Ballestero
Calebe
J. Guridi
D. Suarez
ForwardI. Diabate
A. Rebbach
M. Diaz
A. Tenas
DefenderR. Veiga
W. Kambwala
A. Freeman
T. Partey
D. Parejo
ForwardA. Gonzales
A. Moleiro
T. Oluwaseyi
G. Moreno
Missing players
F. Garces
J. Pacheco
MidfielderA. Guevara
J. Foyth
L. Costa
ForwardA. Perez
P. Cabanes
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Villarreal
T. Martinez
(14 Goals)
G. Mikautadze
(13 Goals)
C. Alena
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Rebbach
(4 Assists)
,
A. Hidalgo
(4 Assists)
N. Pepe
(8 Assists)
Alavés - Villarreal Key Points
- The Over is 2-3 in Alavés's last 5 games
- The Over is 4-1 in Villarreal's last 5 games
- Alavés are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
- Villarreal are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Alavés vs Villarreal Prediction
Player performances have seen Lucas Boyé carry the offensive load for Alavés, having recently netted a brace against Valencia to reach a career-high nine goals for the season. However, the team will be severely handicapped this Friday due to the suspensions of midfield engine Ander Guevara and defender Jon Pacheco, both of whom saw red in their previous outing. Villarreal has been led by the creative brilliance of Alberto Moleiro and the clinical finishing of Nicolas Pépé, both of whom have been instrumental in the club's recent surge. Unfortunately, the visitors are dealing with a significant injury list; defender Juan Foyth remains out long-term, and promising youngster Pau Navarro is a major doubt after picking up a muscle strain against Elche. Additionally, Ayoze Pérez and Logan Costa are facing late fitness tests to determine their availability.
Villarreal clearly possesses the superior tactical setup and individual quality to claim all three points. Alavés is a team fighting for its life, which often produces a trap game atmosphere, but the loss of Guevara in the heart of their midfield is a blow that may be too difficult to overcome against a side as technically gifted as Villarreal. The Yellow Submarine's tendency to dominate possession and exploit tired legs in the second half should see them wear down the hosts. While a gritty draw is within the realm of possibility given Alavés's desperation, the smart money favors the visitors to continue their march toward the Champions League. Our prediction for Alavés vs. Villarreal: Over 2.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
