Ajax vs Olympiacos Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Ajax
1/28/26 15:00
Olympiacos

Prediction:

 

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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 by Simon Day | in Champions League Picks

A place in the playoffs is on the line, as Ajax and Olympiacos go head-to-head in a crucial Champions League Matchday Eight clash in Amsterdam.

After losing their opening five games in the competition, Ajaz looked to be heading for a swift exit; however, back to back victories over Villarreal and Qarabag have kept the Dutch giants in touch with the teams in the top 24 of the league. If they can pull off a third consecutive win on Saturday, plus other results go in their favour, they will complete an astonishing turnaround and secure a place in next month's playoffs. 

Olympiacos are currently in the final playoff position, so whilst a victory would effectively seal their place in the next stage of the competition, anything less would leave them relying on results elsewhere. 

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Ajax vs Olympiacos Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
18 Olympiacos
11 8 3 2 3 -4
32 Ajax
6 8 2 0 6 -13

Ajax and Olympiacos Latest Matches

Ajax
Ajax Latest matches
D W L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Volendam

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Villarreal
1 :  2
Ajax

Jan 17, 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Go Ahead Eagles

Jan 14, 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
6 :  0
Ajax

Jan 11, 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
2 :  3
Ajax

Dec 20, 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  2
Ajax
L L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Volendam

Jan 17, 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Go Ahead Eagles

Dec 14, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Feyenoord

Nov 30, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Groningen

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Nov 22, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  2
Excelsior
W W D W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Villarreal
1 :  2
Ajax

Jan 14, 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
6 :  0
Ajax

Jan 11, 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
2 :  3
Ajax

Dec 20, 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  2
Ajax

Dec 17, 2025 - KNVB beker

Excelsior Maassluis
2 :  7
Ajax

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  4
Ajax
Olympiacos
Olympiacos Latest matches
D W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
1 :  0
Volos NPS

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Olympiacos
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Jan 14, 2026 - Greece Cup

Olympiacos
0 :  2
PAOK Thessaloniki

Jan 10, 2026 - Superleague

Atromitos Athinon
0 :  2
Olympiacos

Jan 3, 2026 - Super Cup

Olympiacos
3 :  0
OFI Crete

Dec 20, 2025 - Superleague

Olympiacos
1 :  1
AE Kifisia FC
W D W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - Superleague

Olympiacos
1 :  0
Volos NPS

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Olympiacos
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Jan 14, 2026 - Greece Cup

Olympiacos
0 :  2
PAOK Thessaloniki

Jan 3, 2026 - Super Cup

Olympiacos
3 :  0
OFI Crete

Dec 20, 2025 - Superleague

Olympiacos
1 :  1
AE Kifisia FC

Dec 17, 2025 - Greece Cup

Olympiacos
6 :  0
POT Iraklis
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 10, 2026 - Superleague

Atromitos Athinon
0 :  2
Olympiacos

Dec 14, 2025 - Superleague

Aris Thessaloniki
0 :  0
Olympiacos

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  1
Olympiacos

Dec 3, 2025 - Greece Cup

HELLAS SYROU
2 :  5
Olympiacos

Nov 30, 2025 - Superleague

Panaitolikos Agrinio
0 :  1
Olympiacos

Nov 9, 2025 - Superleague

AE Kifisia FC
1 :  3
Olympiacos

Ajax against Olympiacos : Head to Head (H2H)

Ajax

100 %

Draw

0 %

Olympiacos

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

Jul 19, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Ajax
1 :  0
Olympiacos
Ajax vs Olympiacos Picks

Ajax against Olympiacos Lineups: Starting 11

Ajax

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
V. Jaros
3
A. Gaaei
37
J. Sutalo
15
Y. Baas
5
O. Wijndal
18
D. Klaassen
6
Y. Regeer
48
S. Steur
10
O. Gloukh
9
K. Dolberg
11
M. Godts
9
A. El Kaabi
10
G. Martins
99
M. Taremi
23
Rodinei
32
S. Hezze
96
C. Mouzakitis
3
F. Ortega
5
L. Pirola
45
P. Retsos
20
Costinha
88
K. Tzolakis

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Olympiacos

Substitutes

Ajax
Ajax
Goalkeeper

J. Heerkens

P. Reverson

Defender

L. Rosa

G. Alders

J. Mokio

O. Gloukh 82'

M. van der Lans

A. Bouwman

Midfielder

K. Fitz-Jim

R. Bounida

D. Klaassen 70'

Forward

P. Nash

O. Wijndal 88'

O. Edvardsen

S. Steur 70'

W. Weghorst

K. Dolberg 81'

Olympiacos
Olympiacos
Goalkeeper

N. Botis

G. Kouraklis

Defender

A. Kalogeropoulos

G. Biancone

L. Pirola 28'

Midfielder

D. Nascimento

L. Scipioni

C. Mouzakitis 72'

O. Bruno

G. Martins 88'

D. Garcia

Chiquinho

A. El Kaabi 72'

Forward

S. Pnevmonidis

G. Strefezza

D. Podence

Rodinei 88'

Missing players

Ajax
Ajax
Defender

K. Itakura

Forward

S. Berghuis

Olympiacos
Olympiacos

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ajax
CD Huachipato Olympiacos
Top Goalscorer
Israel O. Gloukh (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal G. Martins (3 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands S. Steur (1 Assists) , 
Brazil L. Rosa (1 Assists) , 
Belgium M. Godts (1 Assists) , 
Netherlands D. Konadu (1 Assists) , 
Denmark A. Gaaei (1 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal Chiquinho (2 Assists) , 
Iran M. Taremi (2 Assists) , 
Brazil Rodinei (2 Assists)

Ajax - Olympiacos Key Points

  1. 5 of Olympiacos' 7 Champions League games this season have featured under 2.5 goals
  2. Ajax have scored just 7 goals in their 7 Champions League games this season
  3. All 5 of the previous games between Ajax and Olympiacos have featured under 2.5 goals
  4. Ajax have not kept a clean sheet in the Champions League this season
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Our Ajax vs Olympiacos Prediction

Both sides are desperate for a win here, but we think this is going to end in a low scoring draw that will satisfy neither team. 

Ajax have improved dramatically in recent weeks, but we still don't fully trust them and their goalscoring record in this season's Champions League leaves a lot to be desired. 

Given the fact that Olympiacos have also been goal-shy in Europe this season, we think the smart bet here is on the game finishing either 0-0 or 1-1. 

Our prediction for Ajax vs Olympiacos is: Draw and under 2.5 goals 

Prediction:

 

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.