Ajax vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Ajax
11/25/25 12:45
Benfica Lisbon

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

+118
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 by Erik Gibbs in Champions League Picks

Ajax takes on Benfica Lisbon this Tuesday in a Champions League group stage match. Ajax have been inconsistent of late. In the Dutch league they managed only one win in their past four games, drawing with Heerenveen and then suffering defeats at Utrecht and surprise visitors Excelsior. The loss at home to Excelsior was particularly damaging – Ajax controlled possession but conceded two quick goals.

Overall, Ajax's form has been underwhelming, with their Champions League campaign also disrupted by heavy defeats to Marseille (4-0) and Chelsea (5-1). In short, Ajax enter this fixture on uneven footing, needing an improved defensive effort.

Benfica Lisbon arrive in Amsterdam in mixed but generally better shape. Domestically, the Portuguese champions have produced dominant results – a 5-0 home win over Arouca and a 3-0 victory at Vitória Guimarães highlight their attacking firepower. Even so, they have dropped points at home as well, notably blowing a 2-0 lead to draw 2-2 with lowly Casa Pia last weekend.

In Europe, Benfica's campaign has been difficult too. They have yet to win in a tough Champions League group, drawing 1-1 away to Sporting CP and losing 0-1 at home to Bayer Leverkusen. Those results suggest occasional defensive lapses. Benfica will need to rediscover their domestic confidence to make an impact against Ajax.

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Ajax vs Benfica Lisbon Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
35
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
0 4 0 0 4 -6
36
Ajax
Ajax
0 4 0 0 4 -13

Ajax and Benfica Lisbon Latest Matches

Ajax
Ajax Latest matches
L W D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 22, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  2
Excelsior

Nov 9, 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
2 :  1
Ajax

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  3
Galatasaray

Nov 1, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
Heerenveen

Oct 26, 2025 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  3
Ajax

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Ajax
L W L D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 22, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  2
Excelsior

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  3
Galatasaray

Nov 1, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
Heerenveen

Oct 18, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
0 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

Sep 27, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  1
NAC Breda

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  2
Inter Milan
D L D L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Nov 9, 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
2 :  1
Ajax

Oct 26, 2025 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  3
Ajax

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Ajax

Oct 4, 2025 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam
3 :  3
Ajax

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
4 :  0
Ajax

Sep 21, 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
Ajax
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Latest matches
W W W L D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 21, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Atletico Clube De Portugal
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Nov 9, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Casa Pia Lisbon

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Nov 1, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

Oct 29, 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Tondela

Oct 25, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
Arouca
D W W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 9, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Casa Pia Lisbon

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Oct 29, 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Tondela

Oct 25, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
Arouca

Sep 26, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Gil Vicente

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Rio Ave
L D W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
0% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 21, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Atletico Clube De Portugal
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Nov 1, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Oct 17, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Chaves
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Oct 5, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Ajax against Benfica Lisbon : Head to Head (H2H)

Ajax

25 %

Draw

50 %

Benfica Lisbon

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2022 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Feb 23, 2022 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Ajax

Nov 7, 2018 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Ajax

Oct 23, 2018 - Champions League

Ajax
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon
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Missing players

Ajax
Ajax
Defender

O. Wijndal

Midfielder

B. Van den Boomen

Forward

S. Berghuis

W. Weghorst

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ajax
CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands W. Weghorst (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Greece V. Pavlidis (11 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium M. Godts (5 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium D. Lukebakio (3 Assists)

Ajax and Benfica Lisbon Stats in Champions League

Ajax
Ajax
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
0%
Victories
38%
0%
Draw
13%
100%
Defeats
50%
3.75
Total goals per match
1.88
0.25
Goals scored per match
0.88
3.5
Goals conceded per match
1
75%
Over 2.5
25%
25%
Under 2.5
75%
25%
BTTS
13%
0%
No goals conceded
50%

Ajax - Benfica Lisbon Key Points

  1. The Over is 3-2 in Benfica's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 2-2 in Ajax's last 5 games
  3. Benfica are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games
  4. Ajax are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games
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Our Ajax vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction

On Ajax's side, the standout player is Dutch striker Wout Weghorst. Weghorst is the team's leading scorer and has contributed in recent high-scoring games; his height and strength make him a constant threat on set pieces and crosses. Alongside him, Danish forward Kasper Dolberg has chipped in important goals – he came off the bench to score in the Excelsior match, demonstrating composure in front of goal. Midfielder Kenneth Taylor has also been influential, providing energy and creative passing through the middle to link defense and attack. These attacking players give Ajax the firepower to challenge Benfica if they get opportunities.

Benfica's strengths lie in the performances of Georgiy Sudakov and Vangelis Pavlidis. Sudakov opened the scoring in the Casa Pia draw with a wonderful volley, illustrating his technique and confidence on the wing. Pavlidis, operating as the centre-forward, calmly converted a penalty for Benfica's second goal in that game, showing his sharp finishing. Both players possess skill and composure to break down defenses. If Sudakov and Pavlidis combine well on the attack, they will repeatedly test Ajax's unsettled back line.

Considering recent form and key performers, Benfica have a slight edge. Ajax's defense has looked vulnerable, whereas Benfica's attack has been more clinical. Overall, Benfica's scoring ability and experience suggest they will get the better of this contest. Our prediction for Ajax vs Benfica Lisbon: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

+118
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Ajax vs Benfica Lisbon Picks