Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Damm Jr Prediction & Picks - ATP Montpellier
ATP - ATP Montpellier
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Adrian Mannarino of France will walk into the semifinal of the 2026 Montpellier Open as a +138 underdog against the hard-hitting Martin Damm Jr. of the United States.
Recommended Pick: Over 28.5 Games
Potential Payout: $240 for every $100 Bet (+140).
Current Form:
Mannarino pulled off a comeback win over French rising star Arthur Gea 5-7, 6-4, 6-4 to reach the semifinal round of the 2025 Open Occitanie in Montpellier, France. After suffering 12 consecutive losses, Mannarino has produced some inspired tennis at Montpellier, taking down back-to-back top-100 opponents and a rising star to reach the final four of this ATP 250 event. Mannarino, who is winning 80 percent of his first balls in this tournament, eliminated Pedro Martinez 7-6, 6-1, Ugo Humbert 6-7, 6-3, 7-6, and Gea to move one win away from his 16th career finals on the ATP main tour.
Ranked 160th in the world, Damm Jr. is through to the semis of the 2026 Montpellier after another terrific performance against Luka Nardi of Italy, 6-3, 7-6. Averaging 17.8 aces per game and winning 80.6 percent of his first serves, Damm Jr. bombarded his Italian opponent with 16 aces and 36 points behind the first serves. The American has now won his last five matches and improved to 9-3 in the season.
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Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Damm Jr Form
Adrian Mannarino and Martin Damm Jr Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Feb 6, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Feb 4, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Feb 2, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 11, 2026 - ASB Classic
Jan 5, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Feb 6, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Feb 4, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Feb 3, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Feb 2, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Feb 1, 2026 - ATP Montpellier
Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Adrian Mannarino - Martin Damm Jr Key Points
- Martin Damm Jr. is averaging 17.8 aces per match at the 2026 Montpellier Open.
- Martin Damm Jr. is 5-0 in his last five matches.
- Adrian Mannarino is winning 80.1 percent of his first serves at the 2026 Montpellier Open.
- Adrian Mannarino has only dropped two service games at the 2026 Montpellier Open.
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Our Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Damm Jr Prediction
With Adrian Mannarino and Martin Damm Jr. both serving tremendously well in this tournament, fans should brace for a marathon semifinal showdown on Saturday. Over 28.5 Games on the Alternative Total Games section seems like the best pick in this match in anticipation of a three-set match that features more than one tiebreaker.
Mannarino has won 80.1 percent of his first serves and dropped two service games across three matches. Damm Jr. also boasts an 80.1 percent success rate on his first serves and averages 17.8 service games. The American hasn’t conceded a service game in this tourney, saving all 9 breakpoints.
Our betting prediction for Adrian Mannarino vs. Martin Damm Jr.: Over 28.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
