Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea Prediction & Picks - ATP Montpellier

Prediction published on 2/6/26, 5:11 AM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 5/28/26 at 9:16 AM in Tennis Picks

After posting back-to-back top-100 wins, Adrian Mannarino of France is listed as a +117 underdog against rising star Arthur Gea in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Montpellier on Friday.

Recommended Pick: Arthur Gea will win.

Potential Payout: $242 for every $142 Bet (-142).

Current Form:

After a 12-match losing streak, Mannarino broke through with two top-100 wins over Pedro Martinez Porter of Spain, 7-6, 6-1, and fellow Frenchman Ugo Humbert, 6-7, 6-3, 7-6, to secure a spot in the quarterfinals at the 2026 ATP Montpellier. Mannarino is serving incredibly well in this tournament, holding his service games and saving all 11 breakpoints so far.

Meanwhile, Gea marched into the quarterfinals after getting lucky breaks in his first two matches. The 20-year-old Frenchman won his first assignment against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard after the big-serving Frenchman suffered a freak eye injury that forced him to quit before the start of the second set. In the next game, Tomas Machac of the Czech Republic also had to retire from the match after sustaining a knee injury while on the verge of forcing the match to a decider. Gea is now 11-1 on the 2026 ATP season, having also reached the third round of the 2026 Australian Open.