Yannick Hanfmann vs Novak Djokovic Prediction & Picks - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks
Novak Djokovic of Serbia will play Yannick Hanfmann of Germany for a place in the round-of-16 of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
Djokovic, a four-time Shanghai Masters champion, is the heavy favorite as expected, carrying a -900 value on the moneyline. But don’t quickly write off the +650 underdog Hanfmann, who has posted back-to-back wins over quality opponents in the previous round.
Current Form:
Djokovic defeated fellow former US Open champion Marin Cilic in straight sets but it was far from an easy match for the 24-time Grand Slam champion because Cilic really pushed him hard in this second-round clash. Djokovic captured 84 percent of his first serves, winning 43 points while adding 12 more behind the second ball to hammer out 7-6, 6-4 victory. Djokovic improved to 18-6 on the hard court and 32-10 overall in 2025.
Hanfmann reached the third round of the Shanghai Masters after hacking out three-set wins over Australian Open quarterfinalist Lorenzo Sonego 2-6, 6-3, 6-1 and two-time US Open semifinalist Frances Tiafoe 6-7, 6-2, 6-1. Hanfmann has won four matches in a row to reach this stage of the tournament after going through the qualifying phase to secure his spot on the main draw. The German is 12-8 on the hard court this year.
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Yannick Hanfmann vs Novak Djokovic Form
Yannick Hanfmann and Novak Djokovic Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 3, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 1, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 30, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 29, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 27, 2025 - ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
Sep 26, 2025 - ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 3, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 5, 2025 - ATP US Open
Sep 2, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 31, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 29, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open
Yannick Hanfmann against Novak Djokovic : Head to Head (H2H)
May 22, 2024 - ATP Geneva Open
Yannick Hanfmann - Novak Djokovic Key Points
- Novak Djokovic defeated Marin Cilic 7-6, 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
- Novak Djokovic is 18-6 on the hard court in 2025.
- Yannick Hanfmann defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-7, 6-2, 6-1 in the second round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
- Yannick Hanfmann is 4-0 in his last 4 matches.
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Our Yannick Hanfmann vs Novak Djokovic Prediction
Watch out for a crisper performance from Novak Djokovic in the third round. Marin Cilic really challenged him in the previous match, though the lackluster showing was understandable considering it was his first match in over a month.
After gutting out three-set wins over Sonego and Tiafoe, Hanfmann faces the 24-time Grand Slam winner for the second time in his career. The first time he played Djokovic, Hanfmann lost in straight sets 6-3, 6-3 in the second round of the 2024 Geneva Open (clay).
Hanfmann might opt to play an aggressive game to test the endurance of the 38-year-old Djokovic. But again, the Serb took off a one-month rest after his semifinal loss to Carlos Alcaraz at the US Open. Djokovic should have enough stamina to play a physical matchup with Hanfmann. I also believe the competitive match with Marin Cilic has allowed Djokovic to get into his flow and recalibrate for bigger tests ahead in this tourney.
Our betting prediction for Novak Djokovic vs. Yannick Hanfmann: Novak Djokovic -5.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.