West Ham vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

West Ham
8/22/25 15:00
Chelsea

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-145
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 by Erik Gibbs in Premier League Picks

West Ham face Chelsea in a Premier League match on Friday, and West Ham have struggled to start the new season strongly. The London side finished 14th last campaign and have continued to look disjointed under new boss Graham Potter. They emerged from a difficult pre-season with mixed results (beating Lille on penalties in a friendly but losing to Manchester United and drawing other games) and fell 3-0 to newly promoted Sunderland in their Premier League opener.

That heavy defeat, with struggling attack and defensive lapses, has left the Hammers seeking confidence at home. West Ham’s squad has undergone turnover: attacking talent like Declan Rice and Mohammed Kudus have departed, while new signings such as Lucas Paquetá (arrived from Arsenal), Malick Diouf (wing-back) and goalkeeper Mads Hermansen are integrating. The team showed some offensive spark in friendlies (Paquetá scored, new striker Niclas Füllkrug got a goal in pre-season), but early-season form suggests they still need time to click.

Chelsea, in contrast, have had a fairly encouraging opening to their campaign. Under Mauricio Pochettino, the Blues continue to rebuild. In friendlies they looked strong – beating AC Milan 4-1 and Leverkusen 2-0 – and even won the Club World Cup in June, showing depth in their squad. In the Premier League they drew 0-0 away to Crystal Palace last week.

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West Ham vs Chelsea Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10
Chelsea
Chelsea
1 1 0 1 0 0
18
West Ham
West Ham
0 1 0 0 1 -3

West Ham and Chelsea Latest Matches

West Ham
West Ham Latest matches
W L W W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  0
West Ham

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

West Ham
1 :  1
Lille

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
0 :  2
West Ham

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

West Ham
2 :  1
Everton

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  1
West Ham

Jul 19, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Grasshopper Club Zurich
1 :  3
West Ham
D D D L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

West Ham
1 :  1
Lille

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

West Ham
2 :  1
Everton

May 18, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Tottenham

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Southampton

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Bournemouth
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  0
West Ham

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
0 :  2
West Ham

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  1
West Ham

Jul 19, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Grasshopper Club Zurich
1 :  3
West Ham

May 25, 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
1 :  3
West Ham

May 11, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
West Ham
Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  0
Crystal Palace

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 8, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sholing
2 :  0
Chelsea

Jul 13, 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
3 :  0
PSG

Jul 8, 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  2
Chelsea
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  0
Crystal Palace

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 8, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Jul 13, 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
3 :  0
PSG

Jun 16, 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Los Angeles FC

May 16, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Manchester United
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sholing
2 :  0
Chelsea

Jul 8, 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  2
Chelsea

Jul 4, 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Chelsea

Jun 28, 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  4
Chelsea

Jun 24, 2025 - Club World Cup

Esperance Sportive De Tunis
0 :  3
Chelsea

Jun 20, 2025 - Club World Cup

Flamengo
3 :  1
Chelsea

West Ham against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

West Ham

17 %

Draw

17 %

Chelsea

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Feb 3, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
West Ham

Sep 21, 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  3
Chelsea

May 5, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
5 :  0
West Ham

Aug 20, 2023 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  1
Chelsea

Feb 11, 2023 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Chelsea

Sep 3, 2022 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
West Ham

Chelsea v West Ham last Lineups

West Ham

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

1
M. Hermansen
25
J. Todibo
3
M. Kilman
5
N. Aguerd
29
A. Wan-Bissaka
8
J. Ward-Prowse
24
G. Rodriguez
12
E. Diouf
10
L. Paqueta
20
J. Bowen
11
N. Fullkrug
20
Joao Pedro
11
J. Gittens
10
C. Palmer
7
P. Neto
8
E. Fernandez
25
M. Caicedo
3
M. Cucurella
23
T. Chalobah
34
J. Acheampong
24
R. James
1
R. Sanchez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Missing players

West Ham
West Ham
Midfielder

G. Earthy

Luis Guilherme

Forward

C. Summerville

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

B. Badiashile

L. Colwill

T. Adarabioyo

Midfielder

R. Lavia

Forward

M. Mudryk

O. Kellyman

West Ham - Chelsea Key Points

  1. West Ham are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Chelsea are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 3-2 in West Ham's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 1-4 in Chelsea's last 5 games
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Our West Ham vs Chelsea Prediction

Key players for West Ham include captain Jarrod Bowen and the Brazilian playmaker Lucas Paquetá. Bowen is the veteran leader on the wing who will carry much of the Hammers’ attacking burden; he has been delivering consistently and will need to produce chances against Chelsea. Paquetá, a creative midfielder, impressed in pre-season and even scored from the penalty spot in a friendly, so he will be central to West Ham’s forward transitions.

New striker Niclas Füllkrug also merits mention – his layoff has ended and he partnered Bowen in attack during pre-season, though he remains untested in the league. For Chelsea, standout contributors include Brazilian youngsters Cole Palmer and João Pedro (the Portuguese forward). Palmer has been influential in friendlies, scoring multiple goals against Milan, and he offers speed and skill on the flank.

This London derby is expected to be tight. Both clubs have star attacking players but also unresolved defensive questions – West Ham have not yet found consistency under Potter, while Chelsea still mold their new-look side. On balance, the match could go either way. West Ham’s home crowd may give them a lift, but Chelsea’s recent form and depth might edge the contest.

A narrow win for either team or a draw seems most likely in this early-season clash, with perhaps a slight advantage toward Chelsea if the Hammers’ firepower (Bowen, Paquetá) is kept in check. Overall, expect a close, low-scoring game. Our prediction for West Ham vs. Chelsea: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

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West Ham vs Chelsea Picks
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