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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The New York Mets will try to strengthen their position in the wild-card race as they gun for win No.2 over the reeling Washington Nationals on Saturday at Citi Field.
The Mets, who are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings with the Nats, are -287 favorites on the moneyline and -116 on -1.5 runline.
Current Form:
The Mets garnered two crucial wins over San Diego (6-1) and Washington (12-6) to finish their weekday schedule with a 4-1 record in their last five games. New York is currently hanging on to a 2.0-game lead over the 78-76 Cincinnati Reds in the National League wild-card race.
Friday’s 6-12 loss to the Mets extended the Nationals’ losing streak to five games. Washington, which lost all four games in the series against Atlanta, is 69-92 in the season.
Stats Over the Last 5 Games:
The Mets’ offense is on fire over the last five games, averaging 7.5 runs per game on a .271 batting average with almost 3 home runs per game (2.6). New York has also posted a sturdy ERA of 3.00 in this stretch.
The Nationals have pitched to an 8.00 ERA over the last five games while averaging only 2.6 runs per game on a 2.14 BA.
Starting Pitchers:
Nationals RHP Cade Cavalli (3-1, 4.76 ERA) vs. Mets RHP Nolan McLean (4-1, 1.19 ERA).
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Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
13
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0.513 | 156 | 80 | 76 |
28
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0.41 | 156 | 64 | 92 |
Washington Nationals and New York Mets Latest Matches

1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 19, 2025 - MLB
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0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
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Washington Nationals against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 19, 2025 - MLB
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Washington Nationals - New York Mets Key Points
- NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- NY Mets is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Washington.
- Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
- Washington is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.
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Our Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction
Mets are primed to sustain their winning ways over the Nationals, whose offense has already checked out even before the season ends. The Mets are rolling right now, showcasing their offensive firepower combined with their pitching excellence in this five-game stretch.
McClean, who carries a 4-1 record with a 1.39 ERA over his last five starts, will shine in his matchup with the Nats, who average 2.6 runs per game in their last five games. Washington is 4-1 in Cade Cavelli’s five starts, but the starting pitcher has only posted a 6.56 ERA over these five mound appearances. The Mets, 14-10 ATS in their 24 home games against NL East teams this season, should beat the Nats by at least two runs.
Our betting prediction for the Washington Nationals vs. the New York Mets: the Mets -1.5 Runs
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