Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakina Prediction & Picks - Japan Women's Open

Prediction published on 10/23/25, 7:38 PM  by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Elena Rybakina of Kazakhstan will duel with Canadian teenager Victoria Mboko for a place in the semifinals of the 2025 Toray Pan Pacific Open on Friday.

Rybakina opened the betting lines as the clear-cut favorite at -400. However, the +300 Mboko is no slouch, as she proved in the past that she’s capable of going toe-to-toe with elite-level players.

Current Form:

Rybakina extended her winning streak to five matches after taking down Leyah Fernandez in the round of 16 on Thursday, 6-4, 6-3. The Kazakh gave up one of 10 service breaks after capturing 70 percent of her first serves and adding 12 more points behind the second serves. Rybakina also scored 22 return points to earn three key breakpoints, which helped her pull away from her Canadian foe. With the victory, Rybakina improved to 7-1 in her last 8 matches and moved one win away from securing a spot in the WTA Tour Finals.

But standing on her way was the reigning Canadian Open champion, Victoria Mboko. After going through a rough few weeks since winning her maiden WTA 1000 title in Canada, Mboko is beginning to play really well again after posting back-to-back sweeps against Bianca Andreescu 6-3, 6-3, and Eva Lys 6-1, 6-1. Mboko has held 94 percent of her serves and converted 9 of 14 breakpoint chances in two matches in this tourney.