WTA - WTA Cincinnati Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Veronika Kudermetova is a +100 moneyline underdog to Jasmine Paolini despite holding a 3-1 record against the Italian in their head-to-head series.
Will Kudermetova pull off an upset on Sunday? Or Will Paolini take her hot run to the championship match of the 2025 Cincinnati Open?
Kudermetova advanced to the semifinal round of this WTA 1000 event after making quick work of Varvara Gracheva of France 6-1 6-2. The Russian asserted her dominance on the serve, winning 71 percent of her first serves and 81 percent of her second. She also shattered Gracheva’s serve five times on just 9 return points. Kudermetova raised her 2025 hard-court record to 20-10 and 2025 WTA season slate to 33-19.
Paolini reached the final four stage of the Cincinnati after upsetting world’s No.2 Coco Gauff, 2-6 6-4 6-3. Paolini claimed her third straight win over the American by collecting 31 points behind the first serves and winning seven breakpoints. Paolini is 16-7 on the hard court in 2025 and 32-13 on the 2025 WTA season.
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Veronika Kudermetova vs Jasmine Paolini Form
Veronika Kudermetova and Jasmine Paolini Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 15, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 14, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 13, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 10, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 8, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Jul 31, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 15, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 14, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 12, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 10, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Jul 29, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
Jul 2, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Veronika Kudermetova - Jasmine Paolini Key Points
- Veronika Kudermetova defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-1, 6-2 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
- Veronika Kudermetova is 3-1 vs. Jasmine Paolini in their head-to-head series.
- Jasmine Paolini defeated Coco Gauff 2-6 6-4 6-3 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
- Jasmine Paolini is 16-7 on the hard court in 2025.
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Our Veronika Kudermetova vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction
Jasmine Paolini is in a terrific position to end her three-game losing streak against Veronika Kudermetova. The Russian might be holding a 3-1 head-to-head series lead coming into Sunday’s semifinal match, but it’s worth noting that all of those wins came before Paolini reached her first Grand Slam final. Their last encounter saw Kudermetova beat Paolini 6-3, 6-2 in the first round of the 2021 Cincinnati Open, three years before the Italian reached the Wimbledon and French Open finals in 2024.
Kudermetova will still be a dangerous opponent for Paolini with the experience and shot package she has in her arsenal. However, I believe this version of Paolini is just better, stronger, and wiser than what Kudermetova defeated four years ago.
Our betting prediction for Jasmine Paolini vs. Veronika Kudermetova: Jasmine Paolini will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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