Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Prediction & Picks - WTA Hong Kong Open
WTA - WTA Hong Kong Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Mary Stoiana is viewed as a strong pick to cover -5.5 games against Venus Williams in the first round of the 2026 Hong Kong Open.
Current Form:
Venus Williams has lost her last 16 matches on the WTA Tour. The former world No.1 and multiple Grand Slam champion suffered her latest setback at the 2026 Guangzhou Open, losing to Austrian rising star Lilli Tagger 6-2, 6-2 in straight sets.
Mary Stoiana is fresh off a quarterfinal run in Osaka. The American picked up wins over Oleksandra Oliynykova 6-2, 6-3 and Moyuka Uchijima 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 before falling to eventual champion Katerina Siniakova 1-6, 2-6 in the quarterfinals.
The Matchup: Venus Williams is a +460 underdog against Mary Stoiana in their first meeting on the tour.
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Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Form
Venus Williams and Mary Stoiana Latest Matches
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Oct 27, 2026 - WTA Guangzhou
Aug 31, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 14, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 2, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Jul 28, 2026 - WTA Washington Citi Open
Jun 22, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 23, 2026 - Japan Women's Open
Oct 22, 2026 - Japan Women's Open
Oct 20, 2026 - Japan Women's Open
Oct 17, 2026 - Japan Women's Open
Oct 16, 2026 - Japan Women's Open
Sep 18, 2026 - WTA Sao Paulo
Venus Williams - Mary Stoiana Key Points
- Venus Williams is on a 16-match losing streak.
- Venus Williams has not won a match this year.
- Mary Stoiana reached the quarterfinals of the WTA 250 Osaka two weeks ago.
- Mary Stoiana is 23-16 on hard courts in 2026.
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Our Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Prediction
The Difference Maker: Stoiana is 4-1 in her last 5 matches. Moreover, Stoiana is converting 57 percent of opponents' second serves, which is basically bad news for Williams, who is landing 64.7 percent of her first serves and winning 59.7 percent of first-serve points.
Betting Analysis: Stoiana covers -5.5 games against Williams. Williams can no longer pull the trigger. She’s old and immobile. Williams might be able to hold some of her service games, but she has no chance of breaking Stoiana’s serves due to her physical limitations. A strong start by Stoiana would guarantee an easy cover.
Fearless Forecast: Mary Stoiana wins 6-3, 6-3
Our betting prediction for Mary Stoiana vs. Venus Williams: Mary Stoiana -5.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
