Michigan St. vs USC Trojans Prediction & Picks - NCAA Men

USA - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
1/5/26 20:30
USC Trojans

Prediction:

 

USC +9.5 points

-102
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 by Lou Aguila | in Basketball Picks

The USC Spartans are +9.5-point underdogs (-102) against the Michigan State Spartans on Monday at Breslin Center.

Current Form: USC’s five-game winning run came to an end with a 66-96 blowout loss to No.2 Michigan on January 2. The Trojans are 12-2 overall and 1-2 in the Big 10. Michigan State suffered its second loss this season after bowing to Nebraska 56-58 on January 2. Michigan State’s other loss this season came at the hands of No.4 Duke, 60-66, on December 7.

Players to Watch: USC senior guard Chad Baker-Mazara only scored 12 points in the loss to Michigan, but he’s a dynamic scorer averaging 20.4 points per game this season. Michigan doesn’t have a standout point-getter in its lineup, though it has Jaxon Kohler providing double-double numbers. He averages 14.1 points and 10.4 rebounds this season and is on a five-game double-double streak.

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Michigan St. vs USC Trojans Form

Table

Teams % P W L
23 Michigan St.
0.806 31 25 6
129 USC Trojans
0.581 31 18 13
Michigan St. vs USC Trojans Picks

Michigan St. - USC Trojans Key Points

  1. Michigan State is 0-4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
  2. Michigan State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games.
  3. USC is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
  4. USC is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road.
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Our Michigan St. vs USC Trojans Prediction

The Trojans will cover the spread. They got battered heavily by Michigan in their last game, but I feel USC will be in good shape on a competitive standpoint against the Spartans, who are coming off a loss.

The Edge: USC averages 87.7 points per game; Michigan averages 79.0 points per game this season.

The Trend: USC is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road, but I am confident a +9.5 point head start should be enough for the Trojans to cover the spread against Michigan State, which has a record of 0-4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.

Our betting prediction for the USC Trojans vs. the Michigan State Spartans: USC +9.5 points

Prediction:

 

USC +9.5 points

-102
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.