USC Trojans vs Michigan St. Prediction & Picks - NCAA Men
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by Lou Aguila in NCAA Men Picks
The USC Spartans are +9.5-point underdogs (-102) against the Michigan State Spartans on Monday at Breslin Center.
Current Form: USC’s five-game winning run came to an end with a 66-96 blowout loss to No.2 Michigan on January 2. The Trojans are 12-2 overall and 1-2 in the Big 10. Michigan State suffered its second loss this season after bowing to Nebraska 56-58 on January 2. Michigan State’s other loss this season came at the hands of No.4 Duke, 60-66, on December 7.
Players to Watch: USC senior guard Chad Baker-Mazara only scored 12 points in the loss to Michigan, but he’s a dynamic scorer averaging 20.4 points per game this season. Michigan doesn’t have a standout point-getter in its lineup, though it has Jaxon Kohler providing double-double numbers. He averages 14.1 points and 10.4 rebounds this season and is on a five-game double-double streak.
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USC Trojans vs Michigan St. Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
|
8
|
0.25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -2 |
USC Trojans and Michigan St. Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 2, 2026 - NCAA Men
Dec 21, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 17, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 14, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 9, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 6, 2025 - NCAA Men
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Dec 21, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 17, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 14, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 6, 2025 - NCAA Men
Nov 25, 2025 - NCAA Men
Nov 20, 2025 - NCAA Men
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 2, 2026 - NCAA Men
Dec 9, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 2, 2025 - NCAA Men
Nov 26, 2025 - NCAA Men
Nov 24, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 2, 2026 - NCAA Men
Dec 29, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 20, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 16, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 13, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 6, 2025 - NCAA Men
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Dec 29, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 20, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 16, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 6, 2025 - NCAA Men
Dec 2, 2025 - NCAA Men
Nov 27, 2025 - NCAA Men
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 2, 2026 - NCAA Men
Dec 13, 2025 - NCAA Men
Nov 18, 2025 - NCAA Men
Mar 30, 2025 - NCAA Basketball
Mar 6, 2025 - NCAA Men
Feb 26, 2025 - NCAA Men
USC Trojans against Michigan St. : Head to Head (H2H)
Feb 1, 2025 - NCAA Men
USC Trojans - Michigan St. Key Points
- Michigan State is 0-4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
- Michigan State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games.
- USC is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
- USC is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road.
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Our USC Trojans vs Michigan St. Prediction
The Trojans will cover the spread. They got battered heavily by Michigan in their last game, but I feel USC will be in good shape on a competitive standpoint against the Spartans, who are coming off a loss.
The Edge: USC averages 87.7 points per game; Michigan averages 79.0 points per game this season.
The Trend: USC is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road, but I am confident a +9.5 point head start should be enough for the Trojans to cover the spread against Michigan State, which has a record of 0-4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
Our betting prediction for the USC Trojans vs. the Michigan State Spartans: USC +9.5 pointsAll tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.