USC Trojans vs Michigan St. Prediction & Picks - NCAA Men

USA - NCAA Men

USC Trojans
1/5/26 20:30
Michigan St.

Prediction:

 

USC +9.5 points

-102
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 by Lou Aguila in NCAA Men Picks

The USC Spartans are +9.5-point underdogs (-102) against the Michigan State Spartans on Monday at Breslin Center.

Current Form: USC’s five-game winning run came to an end with a 66-96 blowout loss to No.2 Michigan on January 2. The Trojans are 12-2 overall and 1-2 in the Big 10. Michigan State suffered its second loss this season after bowing to Nebraska 56-58 on January 2. Michigan State’s other loss this season came at the hands of No.4 Duke, 60-66, on December 7.

Players to Watch: USC senior guard Chad Baker-Mazara only scored 12 points in the loss to Michigan, but he’s a dynamic scorer averaging 20.4 points per game this season. Michigan doesn’t have a standout point-getter in its lineup, though it has Jaxon Kohler providing double-double numbers. He averages 14.1 points and 10.4 rebounds this season and is on a five-game double-double streak.

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USC Trojans vs Michigan St. Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
4
Michigan St.
Michigan St.
0.8 5 4 1 2
8
USC Trojans
USC Trojans
0.25 4 1 3 -2

USC Trojans and Michigan St. Latest Matches

USC Trojans
USC Trojans Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 2, 2026 - NCAA Men

USC Trojans
66 :  96
Michigan Wolverines

Dec 21, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC Santa Cruz Banana Slugs
63 :  102
USC Trojans

Dec 17, 2025 - NCAA Men

UTSA Roadrunners
70 :  97
USC Trojans

Dec 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

Wash. St.
61 :  68
USC Trojans

Dec 9, 2025 - NCAA Men

USC Trojans
94 :  81
San Diego Toreros

Dec 6, 2025 - NCAA Men

Washington Huskies
84 :  76
USC Trojans
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NCAA Men

UC Santa Cruz Banana Slugs
63 :  102
USC Trojans

Dec 17, 2025 - NCAA Men

UTSA Roadrunners
70 :  97
USC Trojans

Dec 14, 2025 - NCAA Men

Wash. St.
61 :  68
USC Trojans

Dec 6, 2025 - NCAA Men

Washington Huskies
84 :  76
USC Trojans

Nov 25, 2025 - NCAA Men

Seton Hall Pirates
81 :  83
USC Trojans

Nov 20, 2025 - NCAA Men

Troy Trojans
106 :  107
USC Trojans
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 2, 2026 - NCAA Men

USC Trojans
66 :  96
Michigan Wolverines

Dec 9, 2025 - NCAA Men

USC Trojans
94 :  81
San Diego Toreros

Dec 2, 2025 - NCAA Men

USC Trojans
82 :  77
Oregon

Nov 26, 2025 - NCAA Men

USC Trojans
88 :  75
Arizona State Sun Devils

Nov 24, 2025 - NCAA Men

USC Trojans
70 :  67
Boise State Broncos

Mar 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

USC Trojans
71 :  76
Purdue
Michigan St.
Michigan St. Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 2, 2026 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
56 :  58
Nebraska Cornhuskers

Dec 29, 2025 - NCAA Men

Cornell Big Red
97 :  114
Michigan St.

Dec 20, 2025 - NCAA Men

Oakland
70 :  79
Michigan St.

Dec 16, 2025 - NCAA Men

Toledo Rockets
69 :  92
Michigan St.

Dec 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
76 :  72
Penn State Nittany Lions

Dec 6, 2025 - NCAA Men

Duke
66 :  60
Michigan St.
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 29, 2025 - NCAA Men

Cornell Big Red
97 :  114
Michigan St.

Dec 20, 2025 - NCAA Men

Oakland
70 :  79
Michigan St.

Dec 16, 2025 - NCAA Men

Toledo Rockets
69 :  92
Michigan St.

Dec 6, 2025 - NCAA Men

Duke
66 :  60
Michigan St.

Dec 2, 2025 - NCAA Men

Iowa Hawkeyes
52 :  71
Michigan St.

Nov 27, 2025 - NCAA Men

North Carolina
58 :  74
Michigan St.
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 2, 2026 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
56 :  58
Nebraska Cornhuskers

Dec 13, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
76 :  72
Penn State Nittany Lions

Nov 18, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
83 :  66
Kentucky Wildcats

Mar 30, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan St.
64 :  70
Auburn

Mar 6, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
91 :  84
Iowa Hawkeyes

Feb 26, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
58 :  55
Maryland Terrapins

USC Trojans against Michigan St. : Head to Head (H2H)

Feb 1, 2025 - NCAA Men

Michigan St.
64 :  70
USC Trojans

USC Trojans - Michigan St. Key Points

  1. Michigan State is 0-4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
  2. Michigan State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games.
  3. USC is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
  4. USC is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road.
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Our USC Trojans vs Michigan St. Prediction

The Trojans will cover the spread. They got battered heavily by Michigan in their last game, but I feel USC will be in good shape on a competitive standpoint against the Spartans, who are coming off a loss.

The Edge: USC averages 87.7 points per game; Michigan averages 79.0 points per game this season.

The Trend: USC is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road, but I am confident a +9.5 point head start should be enough for the Trojans to cover the spread against Michigan State, which has a record of 0-4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.

Our betting prediction for the USC Trojans vs. the Michigan State Spartans: USC +9.5 points

Prediction:

 

USC +9.5 points

-102
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

USC Trojans vs Michigan St. Picks