Spain vs USA Prediction & Picks - Women's World Cup

World - Women's World Cup

Spain
9/12/26 14:00
USA

Prediction:

 

Spain +20.5 points

-105
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 by Lou Aguila | in Women's World Cup Picks

Spain will try to take advantage of a massive 20.5-point head start against Team USA in the semifinal of the 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup.

Current Form:

Team USA rolled into the semifinal of the FIBA Women’s World Cup after decimating Hungary 108-56. Napheesa Collier finished with 19 points, and Rhyne Howard finished with 15 points to lead the charge for the Americans. Team USA remains undefeated in this tournament after also sweeping the group stages.

Spain also advanced to the final four convincingly, blowing out former women’s basketball powerhouse Australia 89-66 in the quarterfinals. Spain unleashed its potent 1-2 punch as Portland Fire teammates Megan DiLeo and Iyana Martin Carrion combined for 30 points. Spain is 3-1 in the tournament, with its only loss dealt by Mali in the preliminary stage.

The Matchup: USA is 6-0 head-to-head against Spain. However, the Americans defeated Spain by just 14 points, 84-70, in the 2026 FIBA World Cup qualification.

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Spain vs USA Form

Spain and USA Latest Matches

Spain
Spain Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 10, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Australia
66 :  89
Spain

Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Japan
59 :  79
Spain

Sep 5, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Mali
82 :  73
Spain

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Spain
83 :  53
Germany

Aug 29, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Spain
97 :  58
Mali

Aug 23, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Spain
95 :  67
Belgium
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Spain
83 :  53
Germany

Aug 29, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Spain
97 :  58
Mali

Aug 23, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Spain
95 :  67
Belgium

Aug 21, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Spain
83 :  58
Nigeria

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Spain
70 :  84
USA

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Spain
91 :  52
Puerto Rico
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 10, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Australia
66 :  89
Spain

Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Japan
59 :  79
Spain

Sep 5, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Mali
82 :  73
Spain

Aug 15, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Germany
60 :  65
Spain

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Italy
68 :  56
Spain

Mar 12, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Senegal
51 :  84
Spain
USA
USA Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 10, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
108 :  56
Hungary

Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
105 :  64
Czechia

Sep 6, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Italy
52 :  55
USA

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
94 :  61
China

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Spain
70 :  84
USA

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

New Zealand
46 :  101
USA
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 10, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
108 :  56
Hungary

Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
105 :  64
Czechia

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
94 :  61
China

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
93 :  59
Italy

Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
110 :  46
Senegal

Jul 5, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

USA
65 :  53
Canada
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 6, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Italy
52 :  55
USA

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Spain
70 :  84
USA

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

New Zealand
46 :  101
USA

Mar 12, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Puerto Rico
48 :  91
USA

Jul 6, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

Brazil
84 :  92
USA

Jun 30, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

Puerto Rico
62 :  80
USA

Spain against USA : Head to Head (H2H)

Spain

0 %

USA

100 %

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Spain
70 :  84
USA
Spain vs USA Picks

Spain - USA Key Points

  1. Team USA is 4-0 at the 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup.
  2. Team USA is averaging 90.5 points per game at the 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup.
  3. Team Spain is averaging 81.0 points per game at the 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup.
  4. Team Spain is 3-1 at the 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup.
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Our Spain vs USA Prediction

Key Difference: Team Spain has a bunch of WNBA players who can go toe-to-toe with the best of Team USA. The Spaniards are feisty and extremely irritating on defense, which could provide the same set of problems the Americans had in their close wins against the Italians.

What to Expect: The Americans will get the win and advance to the final, but they aren’t going to beat the 20.5-point handicap against this resilient Spanish team.

Again, Spain has the talent, experience, and never-say-die attitude to give this star-studded Team USA a run for their money. They may never win this game, but Spain will easily come away with an ATS win against arguably the best team in the competition.

Fearless Forecast: Team USA wins 81-69

Our betting prediction for Team USA vs. Spain: Spain +20.5 points

Prediction:

 

Spain +20.5 points

-105
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.