USA vs Mexico Prediction & Picks - International Friendlies

International - International Friendlies

USA
10/3/26 21:00
Mexico

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score

+110
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Bradley Gibbs | in Soccer Picks

Following their 4-2 win over Chile, the USMNT will get back down to action in front of a home crowd. This time, Mauricio Pochettino's men will battle it out against Mexico, and they'll do that in the state of Arizona, where the stage will be set at State Farm Stadium. Can the hosts make it six wins from seven games on home soil? 

At early odds of +110, 'Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score' stands out as an excellent betting option. Even with lots of fresh faces, we saw more of the same from the Stars and Stripes recently. Offensively, they looked great, creating lots and scoring lots, but their defensive issues remain, which doesn't exactly bode well ahead of a game against the Mexicans, who like the hosts, have been scoring and conceding in games in recent times. 

Up to $150 to bet on USA - Mexico! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

USA vs Mexico Form

USA and Mexico Latest Matches

USA
USA Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
4 :  2
Chile

Sep 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
4 :  1
Peru

Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup

USA
1 :  4
Belgium

Jul 1, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Australia
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
4 :  2
Chile

Sep 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
4 :  1
Peru

Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup

USA
1 :  4
Belgium

Jul 1, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Australia

Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup

USA
4 :  1
Paraguay
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA

Jun 19, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Saudi Arabia
0 :  1
USA

Mar 23, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  1
USA

Nov 14, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
0 :  1
USA

Oct 15, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
USA

Jun 27, 2024 - Copa America

Panama
2 :  1
USA
Mexico
Mexico Latest matches
W W W L D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Peru

Sep 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Colombia

Jul 5, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  3
England

Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
Ecuador

Jun 24, 2026 - World Cup

Czechia
0 :  3
Mexico

Jun 18, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
1 :  0
South Korea
W W W L D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Sep 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Peru

Sep 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Colombia

Jul 5, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  3
England

Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
Ecuador

Jun 18, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
1 :  0
South Korea

Jun 11, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
South Africa
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 24, 2026 - World Cup

Czechia
0 :  3
Mexico

Jan 25, 2026 - International Friendlies

Bolivia
0 :  1
Mexico

Jan 22, 2026 - International Friendlies

Panama
0 :  1
Mexico

Jul 6, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico

Jun 18, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Suriname
0 :  2
Mexico

Mar 20, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
0 :  2
Mexico

USA against Mexico : Head to Head (H2H)

USA

50 %

Draw

17 %

Mexico

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Jul 6, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico

Oct 15, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
USA

Mar 24, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

USA
2 :  0
Mexico

Jun 15, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

USA
3 :  0
Mexico

Mar 24, 2022 - World Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
USA

Nov 12, 2021 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Mexico
USA vs Mexico Picks

Players list

USA
USA
Goalkeeper

C. Brady

Defender

F. Westfield

N. Pierre

M. Robinson

A. Robinson

S. Dest

Midfielder

B. Raines

S. Berhalter

G. Reyna

A. Mehmeti

Forward

J. Hall

Mexico
Mexico
Goalkeeper

O. Garcia

Defender

V. Guzman

M. Chavez

E. del Villar

Midfielder

A. Fidalgo

O. Pineda

J. Marquez

D. Garcia

O. Vargas

Forward

G. Berterame

I. Violante

Substitutes

USA
USA
Goalkeeper

B. Schwake

M. Freese

Defender

G. Campbell

C. Richards

A. Trusty

A. Freeman

P. Miller

Midfielder

T. Adams

Y. Musah

M. Tillman

Z. Gozo

C. Sullivan

Forward

J. Ellis

D. Downs

M. Albert

Mexico
Mexico
Goalkeeper

A. Padilla

Defender

J. Vasquez

J. Sanchez

J. Gallardo

D. Campillo Del Campo

Midfielder

S. Sandoval Gonzalez

E. Lira

L. Romo

L. Chavez

G. Mora

H. Camberos

Forward

S. Gimenez

R. Alvarado

A. Gonzalez

H. Lozano

USA - Mexico Key Points

  1. The hosts both scored and conceded in a game containing more than two goals last time out.
  2. Three or more goals have been scored in four of the USA's last five games.
  3. Both teams have scored in four of the USA's last five games
  4. When these two teams last met, both teams scored, with more than two goals being scored in total.
Up to $150 to bet on USA - Mexico! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our USA vs Mexico Prediction

That game against the Chileans just a few days ago tells us that the USA's younger and fresher looking squad has the tools to do some serious damage, even against a decent Mexican team. However, at the back, they once again looked seriously lacking from a solidity point of view. Having seen a total of six goals fly in last time out, the hosts look set for another high-scoring encounter, with goals likely at both ends, so much so that 'Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score' is the way to go. 

Our USA vs Mexico Pick: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score

+110
$150 offered for betting!

A Welcome Bonus for USA vs Mexico!

DraftKings Welcome Bonus 150

Looking to place a bet on USA vs Mexico? For this International Friendlies match, DraftKings will treat you to an exclusive offer: $150 in bonus bets, no promo code needed! Take advantage while you still can!

$150 in bonus bets for USA vs Mexico!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.