France vs USA Prediction & Picks - Men's Olympic Tournament

Olympics - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
8/10/24 15:30
USA

Prediction:

 

France will cover +16.5 point spread.

-115
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 by Lou Aguila in Basketball Picks

Team USA will go for their sixth consecutive gold medal in men’s 5x5 basketball as they duke it out with host country France on Saturday at Accor Arena in Paris, France. The Americans dodged a bullet in the semifinal round when they rallied from a double-digit deficit to beat the upset-minded Serbia, 95-91. Stephen Curry knocked down 9 triples to finish with a game-high 36 points and 8 rebounds, while LeBron James delivered a triple-double with 16 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists. Team USA also relied on the inside presence of Joel Embiid, who tallied 19 points on 72.7 percent shooting. France, meanwhile, flipped the script on Germany as they held on to a 73-69 win over the previously unbeaten Germany. Guerschon Yabusele came up once more, posting 17 points and 7 rebounds. Isaiah Cordinier recorded 16 points and 7 rebounds, while Victor Wembanyama posted 11 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists in the win.

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France vs USA Form

France and USA Latest Matches

France
France Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 8, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
73 :  69
Germany

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
82 :  73
Canada

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
71 :  85
Germany

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
90 :  94
France

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
78 :  66
Brazil

Sep 2, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Ivory Coast
77 :  87
France
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 8, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
73 :  69
Germany

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
82 :  73
Canada

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
71 :  85
Germany

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
78 :  66
Brazil

Aug 31, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

France
82 :  55
Iran

Aug 27, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

France
86 :  88
Latvia
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
90 :  94
France

Sep 2, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Ivory Coast
77 :  87
France

Aug 29, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lebanon
79 :  85
France

Aug 25, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Canada
95 :  65
France

Sep 18, 2022 - EuroBasket

Wsf1
88 :  76
France

Sep 16, 2022 - EuroBasket

Poland
54 :  95
France
USA
USA Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Aug 8, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
95 :  91
Serbia

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Brazil
87 :  122
USA

Aug 3, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Puerto Rico
83 :  104
USA

Jul 31, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
103 :  86
South Sudan

Jul 28, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Serbia
84 :  110
USA

Jul 10, 2024 - International Friendly Games

USA
86 :  72
Canada
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 8, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
95 :  91
Serbia

Jul 31, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
103 :  86
South Sudan

Jul 10, 2024 - International Friendly Games

USA
86 :  72
Canada

Feb 22, 2024 - FIBA Americup Qualifiers, Group A

USA
100 :  79
Cuba

Sep 10, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
118 :  127
Canada

Sep 8, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
111 :  113
Germany
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Brazil
87 :  122
USA

Aug 3, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Puerto Rico
83 :  104
USA

Jul 28, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Serbia
84 :  110
USA

Feb 25, 2024 - FIBA Americup Qualifiers, Group A

Cuba
81 :  67
USA

Sep 5, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Italy
63 :  100
USA

Aug 28, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
81 :  109
USA

France against USA : Head to Head (H2H)

France

50 %

USA

50 %

Aug 6, 2021 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
82 :  87
USA

Sep 11, 2019 - Basketball World Cup

USA
79 :  89
France

France - USA: Form Analysis

The United States averages 106.8 per game in the tournament, but for the first time in five games, they scored below the century mark in the semifinals match vs. Serbia. The USA’s high-octane offense allows them to generate 83.3 ball possession per 40 minutes while boasting 18 assists per turnover. The French team likes to play in a half-court set, averaging 79.6 points on 74.06 ball possessions. France is also grabbing 33 rebounds per contest, and they are up there with Team USA as one of the best shot-blocking teams at 5.0 swats per game.

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France & USA Squad Analysis

Stephen Curry’s 36-point explosion in the semifinals helped team USA survive Serbia and keep their gold medal streak alive. Curry will be a marked man in this match, and so will be LeBron James, who now leads Team USA in points (14.2), rebounds (7.0), and assists (8.2) per game. Victor Wembanyama may be the star of Team France but don’t sleep on Guerschon Yabusele and Isaiah Cordinier, who are chalking up big numbers in the knockout stages.

France - USA Key Points

  1. Stephen Curry rained down 9 treys in the win vs. Serbia.
  2. Victor Wembanyama was held down to 11 points in the win vs. Germany.
  3. Team USA defeated France 87-82 to win the gold at the Tokyo Olympics.
  4. France defeated Germany 73-69, while USA survived Serbia 95-91 in the semifinals.
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Our France vs USA Prediction

Team USA knows they are in for a rough match against the host country, who will have the majority of the crowd at Accor Arena cheering on them. The last time they met, USA engaged in a highly-contested match to gut out an 87-82 win in the gold medal match at the Tokyo Olympics three years ago. With Victor Wembanyama in the mix, France has become a lot more dangerous team than they were in 2021. I would not also count out the coaching genius of long-time French national coach Vincent Collet, who could bust out another strategy to catch the Americans off guard. Although the betting odds say the Americans are the overwhelming -1600 favorites, I feel this French team won’t go down without giving Team USA a real scare. They will still lose the gold medal, though, by a single-digit margin. Our betting prediction for USA vs. France: France will cover +16.5-point spread, -115, at Caesars Sportsbook.

Prediction:

 

France will cover +16.5 point spread.

-115
$250 offered for betting!

France vs USA - Other Interesting Picks

Stephen Curry OVER 3.5 Three-Points

Odds +105

Curry is going to be a marked man in this gold medal showdown with France after knocking down 9 treys in the win vs. Serbia. However, Steve Kerr knows exactly how he can draw plays to free up the deadliest shooter in history. He knows that Team USA’s chances of bagging the gold will once again depend on Curry’s shooting performance against France, and Curry will not disappoint. I expect him to drain at least five treys en route to another 20+ point game. Our betting prediction for USA vs. France: Stephen Curry Over 3.5 Threes, +105, at DraftKings.

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Victor Wembanyama UNDER 16.5 Points

Odds -110

Victor Wembanyama has been spectacular in his first Olympic Games, emerging as the team’s top scorer (13.8 ppg), rebounder (10.2 RPG), and playmaker (3.2 assists). Head coach Vincent Collet has trusted the young Spurs star with all of his heart, and Wembanyama pays off handsomely. In this upcoming gold medal match, expect Team USA to load up on Wembanyama whenever he touches the ball, keeping him out of the flow of the game. He can still impact the game in some other ways like rebounding and intimidating shots on the other hand, but I don’t see him scoring over 16 points in this match. Our betting prediction for Team USA vs. France: Victor Wembanyama Under 16.5 points, -110, at DraftKings.

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France vs USA Picks