USA vs Costa Rica Prediction & Picks - CONCACAF Gold Cup

International - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
6/29/25 19:00
Costa Rica

Prediction:

 

USA to win and under 2.5 goals

+230
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 by Simon Day in CONCACAF Gold Cup Picks

The final Gold Cup quarter final of the weekend sees the USA take on Costa Rica at U.S. Bank Stadium. The US come into the game as strong favorites following their perfect record in the group stage. However, Sunday's game will represent their stiffest test of the tournament so far. Costa Rica have a vastly experienced squad, and as they showed in their 0-0 group stage draw against Mexico, they are an extremely tough side to break down. 

The US have held the upper hand over their rivals in recent encounters, winning five of their last six matchups against Costa Rica. However, when the sides last met in a competitive fixture, it was Costa Rica that emerged victorious, winning 2-0 in a 2022 World Cup qualification match, thanks to second half goals from Juan Pablo Vargas and Anthony Contreras. 

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USA vs Costa Rica Form

USA and Costa Rica Latest Matches

USA
USA Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 22, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
2 :  1
Haiti

Jun 19, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Saudi Arabia
0 :  1
USA

Jun 15, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
5 :  0
Trinidad And Tobago

Jun 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  4
Switzerland

Jun 7, 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  2
Turkey

Mar 23, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  1
USA
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 22, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
2 :  1
Haiti

Jun 15, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
5 :  0
Trinidad And Tobago

Jun 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  4
Switzerland

Jun 7, 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  2
Turkey

Mar 20, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

USA
0 :  1
Panama

Jan 22, 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  0
Costa Rica
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 19, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Saudi Arabia
0 :  1
USA

Mar 23, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  1
USA

Nov 14, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
0 :  1
USA

Oct 15, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
USA

Jun 27, 2024 - Copa America

Panama
2 :  1
USA

Nov 20, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Trinidad And Tobago
2 :  1
USA
Costa Rica
Costa Rica Latest matches
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 22, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Costa Rica

Jun 18, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  1
Dominican Republic

Jun 15, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica
4 :  3
Suriname

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  1
Trinidad And Tobago

Jun 7, 2025 - World Cup

Bahamas
0 :  8
Costa Rica

Mar 25, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica
6 :  1
Belize
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 18, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  1
Dominican Republic

Jun 15, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica
4 :  3
Suriname

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  1
Trinidad And Tobago

Mar 25, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica
6 :  1
Belize

Nov 14, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Costa Rica
0 :  1
Panama

Oct 15, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Costa Rica
3 :  0
Guatemala
D D L W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
33% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 22, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Costa Rica

Jun 7, 2025 - World Cup

Bahamas
0 :  8
Costa Rica

Mar 21, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Belize
0 :  7
Costa Rica

Jan 22, 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  0
Costa Rica

Nov 18, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Panama
2 :  2
Costa Rica

Oct 11, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Suriname
1 :  1
Costa Rica

USA against Costa Rica : Head to Head (H2H)

USA

80 %

Draw

0 %

Costa Rica

20 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.8
Total goals
20%
BTTS
2.2
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.6
Goals scored (Team 2)
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

Jan 22, 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  0
Costa Rica

Mar 30, 2022 - World Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  0
USA

Oct 13, 2021 - World Cup

USA
2 :  1
Costa Rica

Jun 9, 2021 - International Friendlies

USA
4 :  0
Costa Rica

Feb 2, 2019 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  0
Costa Rica

USA - Costa Rica: Form Analysis

The US were in dominant form during the group stages, scoring eight times and conceding just once in their three games. They put down a strong marker in their opening game, thrashing Trinidad and Tobago 5-0 at PayPal Park. They followed that up by edging past Saidi Arabia 1-0, before finishing off with a hard fought 2-1 victory over Haiti. Malik Tillman has been the star man for the US, scoring three goals and causing countless problems with his electrifying pace and direct running. 

Costa Rica up for the fight

Costa Rica's progress from Group A was anything but straightforward. They need a dramatic 103rd minute penalty from Manfred Ugalde to complete a come-from-behind 4-3 victory over Suriname in their opening game. They also left it late on matchday two, as Josimar Alcócer's 85th minute strike gave them a 2-1 victory over the Dominican Republic. With qualification secured, Costa Rica completed the group stage with a relatively low key 0-0 draw against Mexico. 

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Costa Rica v USA last Lineups

USA

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

25
M. Freese
16
A. Freeman
3
C. Richards
13
T. Ream
2
J. Tolkin
14
L. De La Torre
17
M. Tillman
4
T. Adams
7
Q. Sullivan
24
P. Agyemang
11
B. Aaronson
9
M. Ugalde
10
B. Aguilera
12
A. Martinez
20
J. Alcocer
8
J. Mora
14
O. Galo
22
C. Mora
15
F. Calvo
4
J. Vargas
3
J. Mitchell
1
K. Navas

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Costa Rica

USA & Costa Rica Squad Analysis

USMNT coach Mauricio Pochettino is unlikely to make any changes from the side that waltzed through their group. That means Patrick Agyemang will continue to lead the US attack, with the likes of Mailk Tillman and Diego Luna providing support. Despite impressing off the bench during the group stage, attacking midfielder Brenden Aaronson will likely have to once again settle for a place on the bench. 

Probable US starting eleven: Freese; Freeman, Richards, Ream, Tolkin; de la Torre, Adams; McGlynn, Tillman, Luna; Agyemang. 

Experience the key for Costa Rica

If Costa Rica are to spring a surprise on Sunday evening, they will probably need a world class display from veteran keeper Kaylor Navas. As well as Navas, Costa Rica also have a number of vastly experienced outfield players, including defenders Juan Pablo Vargas and Francisco Calvo.

Costa Rica probable starting eleven: Navas; Mora, Mitchell, Pablo Vargas, Calvo, Mora; Aguilera, Galo, Alcocer; Ugalde, Martínez

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato USA
CD Huachipato Costa Rica
Top Goalscorer
USA M. Tillman (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Costa Rica M. Ugalde (3 Goals)
Best assists
USA D. Luna (2 Assists)
USA M. Arfsten (2 Assists)
Best assists
Costa Rica B. Aguilera (1 Assists)
Costa Rica M. Ugalde (1 Assists)

USA - Costa Rica Key Points

  1. The US have won 5 of their last 6 games against Costa Rica
  2. Costa Rica have scored just 2 goals in their last 6 games against the US
  3. The US have conceded just 1 goal in their last 3 games
  4. Costa Rica lost 3-0 to the US the last time the teams met
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Our USA vs Costa Rica Prediction

Costa Rica almost always put up a strong fight, but we think the US have the ability required to break them down and move on to the semi finals. Costa Rica will put plenty of men behind the ball and look to play on the break, whilst the US will probably enjoy the bulk of possession. That points towards a low scoring contest, so despite the US scoring eight goals in three games so far, we are predicting this clash to have under three goals. Our prediction for USA vs Costa Rica is: USA to win and under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

USA to win and under 2.5 goals

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USA vs Costa Rica - Other Interesting Picks

Malik Tillman to score

Odds +230
Malik Tillman has arguably been the tournament's standout player so far. The PSV midfielder has three goals already and has come close to adding to his tally on numerous other occasions. The US may have to bide their time on Sunday, but we are backing Tillman to be the man to unlock the Costa Rica defence and score his fourth goals of the competition.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

USA vs Costa Rica Picks
Up to $250 to bet on USA - Costa Rica! 

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