USA vs Canada Prediction & Picks - International Friendlies

International - International Friendlies

USA
10/6/26 20:00
Canada

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-149
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Soccer Picks

Is it a bird? is it a plane? Nope, it's a USMNT clean sheet! For the first time in several years, the Stars and Stripes enter a game off the back of shutting out a high-ranking team. After defeating the Mexicans by three goals to zero, Mauricio Pochettino's men will conclude the current international window with a game against the Canadians. The Canucks will visit their neighbors at Allianz Field in Minnesota.

The question is should we begin to assume that the hosts have solved their defensive puzzle? Absolutely not. They did shut the Mexicans out, but they were a little fortunate to do so. Given the recent scoring record of both the hosts and the visitors ahead of this game, 'Both Teams to Score' rates as a better bet than odds of -149 would have us believe. Such a price is clearly an overreaction to that rare clean sheet. 

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USA vs Canada Form

USA and Canada Latest Matches

USA
USA Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  0
Mexico

Sep 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
4 :  2
Chile

Sep 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
4 :  1
Peru

Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup

USA
1 :  4
Belgium

Jul 1, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  0
Mexico

Sep 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
4 :  2
Chile

Sep 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
4 :  1
Peru

Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup

USA
1 :  4
Belgium

Jul 1, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Australia
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA

Jun 19, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Saudi Arabia
0 :  1
USA

Mar 23, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  1
USA

Nov 14, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
0 :  1
USA

Oct 15, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
USA

Jun 27, 2024 - Copa America

Panama
2 :  1
USA
Canada
Canada Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
2 :  0
Peru

Sep 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
1 :  0
Chile

Jul 4, 2026 - World Cup

Canada
0 :  3
Morocco

Jun 28, 2026 - World Cup

South Africa
0 :  1
Canada

Jun 24, 2026 - World Cup

Switzerland
2 :  1
Canada

Jun 18, 2026 - World Cup

Canada
6 :  0
Qatar
D D W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
2 :  0
Peru

Sep 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
1 :  0
Chile

Jul 4, 2026 - World Cup

Canada
0 :  3
Morocco

Jun 18, 2026 - World Cup

Canada
6 :  0
Qatar

Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup

Canada
1 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 5, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
1 :  1
Ireland
D W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 28, 2026 - World Cup

South Africa
0 :  1
Canada

Jun 24, 2026 - World Cup

Switzerland
2 :  1
Canada

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
0 :  2
Canada

Sep 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

Wales
0 :  1
Canada

Sep 5, 2025 - International Friendlies

Romania
0 :  3
Canada

Jun 21, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Curacao
1 :  1
Canada

USA against Canada : Head to Head (H2H)

USA

20 %

Draw

20 %

Canada

60 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.8
Total goals
60%
BTTS
1.2
Goals scored
1.6
Goals conceded
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

Mar 23, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  1
USA

Sep 7, 2024 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  2
Canada

Jul 9, 2023 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
2 :  2
Canada

Jun 18, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
0 :  2
USA

Jan 30, 2022 - World Cup

Canada
2 :  0
USA
USA vs Canada Picks

Players list

USA
USA
Goalkeeper

D. Kochen

Defender

A. Freeman

A. Robinson

A. Trusty

C. Richards

Midfielder

S. Berhalter

T. Adams

C. Sullivan

G. Reyna

M. Tillman

Forward

J. Hall

Canada
Canada
Goalkeeper

O. Goodman

Defender

R. Chukwu

L. De Fougerolles

N. Sigur

Midfielder

J. Shaffelburg

L. Millar

S. Eustaquio

R. Priso

N. Saliba

Forward

J. David

D. Jebbison

Substitutes

USA
USA
Goalkeeper

M. Freese

B. Schwake

Defender

N. Pierre

G. Campbell

S. Dest

F. Westfield

P. Miller

Midfielder

Y. Musah

A. Mehmeti

Z. Gozo

B. Raines

Forward

W. Campbell

M. Albert

D. Downs

J. Ellis

Canada
Canada
Goalkeeper

D. St. Clair

J. Pantemis

Defender

J. Knight-Lebel

R. Laryea

L. Petrasso

J. Smith

Midfielder

J. Ivanisevic

M. Choiniere

S. Piette

Forward

T. Buchanan

C. Larin

J. Russell-Rowe

P. David

T. Oluwaseyi

Missing players

USA
USA
Canada
Canada
Defender

D. Cornelius

M. Bombito

Midfielder

I. Kone

USA - Canada Key Points

  1. Both teams have found the net in four of USA's last six fixtures.
  2. The Canadians have only failed to score in one of their last nine games.
  3. The hosts have scored in each of their last nine games.
  4. Since July 2023, these two teams have met three times, with both teams scoring on all three occasions.
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Our USA vs Canada Prediction

As touched on above, the early betting market ahead of this clash seems to have overreacted to the clean sheet recorded by the USMNT a few days ago. Sure, they did shut out the Mexicans, but they did give away some decent chances, conceding more than 1.00 expected goal. Their recent defensive efforts in general also point towards them struggling against a very strong counter-offensive Canadian team. 

Neither the hosts nor the visitors have a habit of failing to score in games, so much so that 'Both Teams to Score' looks too nicely priced at odds of -149. Given all that we know, a more accurate price would be -175. 

Our USA vs Canada Pick: Both Teams to Score.

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-149
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.