Brazil vs USA Prediction & Picks - Men's Olympic Tournament

Olympics - Men's Olympic Tournament

Brazil
8/6/24 15:30
USA

Prediction:

 

USA will cover -27.0 spread.

-115
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 by Lou Aguila in Basketball Picks

After sweeping the preliminary stages, Team USA is locked in a win-or-go-home battle with Brazil in the quarterfinals of the men's basketball competition at the 2024 Paris Olympics. The United States men's basketball team entered this tournament for one goal and one goal only, and that is to win the gold medal, restoring their domination in the world of basketball. So far so good for the Americans, who routed their first three opponents by an average winning margin of 21.3 points. On the other hand, Brazil made it to the last eight by being one of the two best third-place finisher along with Greece in group play. The South Americans punched their tickets into the knockout stages by defeating Japan 102-84 in their final preliminary match. Brazil is also searching for their first medal in men's basketball since winning bronze at the 1964 Tokyo Olympics.

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Brazil vs USA Form

Brazil and USA Latest Matches

Brazil
Brazil Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
84 :  102
Brazil

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Brazil
73 :  86
Germany

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
78 :  66
Brazil

Feb 26, 2024 - FIBA Americup Qualifiers, Group A

Paraguay
53 :  108
Brazil

Feb 23, 2024 - FIBA Americup Qualifiers, Group A

Brazil
108 :  43
Paraguay

Nov 4, 2023 - Pan American Games, Group A

Mexico
61 :  73
Brazil
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Brazil
73 :  86
Germany

Feb 23, 2024 - FIBA Americup Qualifiers, Group A

Brazil
108 :  43
Paraguay

Nov 3, 2023 - Pan American Games, Group A

Brazil
77 :  84
Venezuela

Nov 2, 2023 - Pan American Games, Group A

Brazil
72 :  69
Puerto Rico

Nov 1, 2023 - Pan American Games, Group A

Brazil
94 :  43
Chile

Sep 3, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Brazil
84 :  104
Latvia
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
84 :  102
Brazil

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
78 :  66
Brazil

Feb 26, 2024 - FIBA Americup Qualifiers, Group A

Paraguay
53 :  108
Brazil

Nov 4, 2023 - Pan American Games, Group A

Mexico
61 :  73
Brazil

Oct 31, 2023 - Pan American Games, Group A

Mexico
54 :  74
Brazil

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Canada
65 :  69
Brazil
USA
USA Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 3, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Puerto Rico
83 :  104
USA

Jul 31, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
103 :  86
South Sudan

Jul 28, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Serbia
84 :  110
USA

Jul 10, 2024 - International Friendly Games

USA
86 :  72
Canada

Feb 25, 2024 - FIBA Americup Qualifiers, Group A

Cuba
81 :  67
USA

Feb 22, 2024 - FIBA Americup Qualifiers, Group A

USA
100 :  79
Cuba
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 31, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
103 :  86
South Sudan

Jul 10, 2024 - International Friendly Games

USA
86 :  72
Canada

Feb 22, 2024 - FIBA Americup Qualifiers, Group A

USA
100 :  79
Cuba

Sep 10, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
118 :  127
Canada

Sep 8, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
111 :  113
Germany

Sep 3, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
104 :  110
Lithuania
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 3, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Puerto Rico
83 :  104
USA

Jul 28, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Serbia
84 :  110
USA

Feb 25, 2024 - FIBA Americup Qualifiers, Group A

Cuba
81 :  67
USA

Sep 5, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Italy
63 :  100
USA

Aug 28, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
81 :  109
USA

Feb 26, 2023 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A

Brazil
83 :  76
USA

Brazil against USA : Head to Head (H2H)

Brazil

67 %

USA

33 %

Feb 26, 2023 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A

Brazil
83 :  76
USA

Nov 11, 2022 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A

USA
79 :  94
Brazil

Sep 9, 2019 - Basketball World Cup

USA
89 :  73
Brazil

Brazil - USA: Form Analysis

Team USA finished with a 3-0 record in Group C, averaging 105.7 points per game on 65.5% true shooting. The Americans have also imposed their presence in the interior, grabbing 40.3 rebounds and swatting 5.3 shots per contest. Team Brazil went 2-1 in Group B and scored an average of 80.3 points across three games. They have properly utilized their height and bulk to their advantage as they have emerged from group play as one of the best rebounding teams in the competition at 36.3 rebounds per contest. Team USA averages 85.67 possessions per 40 minute of basketball action while Brazil averages 75.27.

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Players list

Brazil
Brazil

M. Huertas

R. Neto

B. Caboclo

G. Santos

L. Meindl

USA
USA
J. Embiid

D. Booker

S. Curry

J. Holiday

L. James

Substitutes

Brazil
Brazil
C. Felicio

Y. Dos Santos

G. de Paula

D. Louzada

V. Benite

J. Pereira

L. Dias

USA
USA
J. Tatum B. Adebayo A. Davis

A. Edwards

T. Haliburton

D. White

K. Durant

Brazil & USA Squad Analysis

Despite not playing a single exhibition game in the lead up to Paris due to a calf injury, Kevin Durant has dazzled with Team USA, averaging 16.0 points per game. Anthony Edwards has led the way in the scoring department with 16.7 points per game while LeBron James has been an all-around maestro with 14.3 points, 6.7 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game. As for Brazil, Vitor Benite stands as their leading scorer with 14.3 points per game. Former NBA player Bruno Coboclo averages 13 points and 7.3 rebounds per game, while 25-year-old playmaker Yago Santos provides around 6 assists per contest.

Brazil - USA Key Points

  1. LeBron James is averaging 14.3 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 7.3 assists in the Olympics.
  2. Stephen Curry knocked down five treys throughout the Olympic tournament.
  3. Team USA has an average winning margin of 21 points.
  4. Team USA is given a -27.0 point spread on Caesars Sportsbook.
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Our Brazil vs USA Prediction

Although Team USA did not cover the -35.5-point spread in their last game against Puerto Rico, I am pretty sure the Americans decided not to exert maximum effort in their final group game, knowing that they already had the No.1 seed in the knockout stages in the bag. Against Brazil, expect the Americans to come out of the gates aggressively as they look to build a commanding lead against Brazil as early as possible. In the end, I predict team USA to cruise to a comfortable 30+ win, punching their ticket into the semis. Our betting prediction for Team USA vs. Brazil: Bet on USA to cover a -27.0 spread, -115, at Caesars Sportsbook.

Prediction:

 

USA will cover -27.0 spread.

-115
$250 offered for betting!

Brazil vs USA - Other Interesting Picks

James will go UNDER 27.5 on points + rebounds + assists.

Odds +100

LeBron James will stuff the stats sheet again in this quarterfinal matchup with Brazil. The Lakers star has been an all-around virtuoso in the tourney, averaging 14.3 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 7.3 assists per game in three games. Brazil doesn't have a player big and agile enough to contain King James at age 40. However, a prop of 27.5 points on combined points, rebounds, and assists may be a bit far out of reach for James, given the fact that the USA is stacked with talent who can also score, grab boards and facilitate. Our betting prediction: James will go UNDER 27.5 on points + rebounds + assists, -130, at DraftKings.

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Steph Curry Over 2.5 3-Points

Odds -145

Stephen Curry is going to a good night shooting beyond the three-point line against Brazil, and here's why. South Sudan's length proved to be a problem for Curry, who went 0-for-6 in that game. He came back draining two treys against Puerto Rico, but we still didn't see a Steph Curry showtime from the three-point area yet. That spectacle could take place against Brazil as the Americans will look for him more to destroy the Brazil's interior defense and space out the floor for their slashers. Our betting prediction for Team USA vs Brazil: Steph Curry Over 2.5 3-Points, -145, at DraftKings.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brazil vs USA Picks