USA vs Belgium Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

USA
7/6/26 20:00
Belgium

Prediction:

 

USA to Score Over 1.5 Goals

+115
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks

On Monday evening, co-hosts USA will bid to reach the quarter-finals of the 2026 World Cup, but to do that they’ll need to get the better of a Belgium team that defied the odds to back late on against Senegal during the Round-of-32. The pair will lock horns at Lumen Field. 

Apart from that disappointing effort against the Turks, the US boys have performed impressively at this World Cup, delivering a string of positive and front-footed efforts, and off the back of beating Bosnia & Herzegovina in commanding style, they should fancy themselves to make life very difficult for a Belgian team that has not yet impressed. 

Looking at the early lines, ‘USA to Score Over 1.5 Goals’ stands out as the best betting proposition at odds of +115. After all, the Belgians do not look secure at the back.

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USA vs Belgium Form

USA and Belgium Latest Matches

USA
USA Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup

USA
1 :  4
Belgium

Jul 1, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Australia

Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup

USA
4 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  2
Germany
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup

USA
1 :  4
Belgium

Jul 1, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Australia

Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup

USA
4 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  2
Germany

May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  2
Senegal
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA

Jun 19, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Saudi Arabia
0 :  1
USA

Mar 23, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  1
USA

Nov 14, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
0 :  1
USA

Oct 15, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
USA

Jun 27, 2024 - Copa America

Panama
2 :  1
USA
Belgium
Belgium Latest matches
W D D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup

USA
1 :  4
Belgium

Jul 1, 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
3 :  2
Senegal

Jun 26, 2026 - World Cup

New Zealand
1 :  5
Belgium

Jun 21, 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
0 :  0
Iran

Jun 15, 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
1 :  1
Egypt

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Belgium
5 :  0
Tunisia
D W W D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jul 1, 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
3 :  2
Senegal

Jun 21, 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
0 :  0
Iran

Jun 15, 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
1 :  1
Egypt

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Belgium
5 :  0
Tunisia

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Belgium
7 :  0
Liechtenstein

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Belgium
0 :  0
North Macedonia
D W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup

USA
1 :  4
Belgium

Jun 26, 2026 - World Cup

New Zealand
1 :  5
Belgium

Jun 2, 2026 - International Friendlies

Croatia
0 :  2
Belgium

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Belgium

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  5
Belgium

Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup

Kazakhstan
1 :  1
Belgium

USA against Belgium : Head to Head (H2H)

USA

0 %

Draw

0 %

Belgium

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

6
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
4.5
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Jul 6, 2026 - World Cup

USA
1 :  4
Belgium

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  5
Belgium

USA - Belgium: Form Analysis

Mauricio Pochettino probably wouldn’t have been thinking about making offensive changes ahead of this game, though unfortunately, he doesn’t have a choice. By getting sent off last time out, Folarin Balogun wasn't originally available for this historic matchup for the US, a huge loss given his form this tournament. Since then, FIFA has overturned his suspension, and we should expect to see him in the starting lineup.  

Winger Diego Moreira also made a positive impact as a substitute last time out and is another player who could freshen up a fairly stagnant starting XI.

Belgian boss Rudi Garcia probably will be thinking about switching things up after his team delivered a disappointing effort last time out. Romelu Lukaku changed things when coming on and may now be deemed fit enough to start for the first time at this World Cup. Winger Diego Moreira also made a positive impact as a substitute last time out and is another player who could freshen up a fairly stagnant starting XI.

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USA vs Belgium Picks

USA against Belgium Lineups: Starting 11

USA

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

24
M. Freese
16
A. Freeman
3
C. Richards
13
T. Ream
2
S. Dest
8
W. McKennie
4
T. Adams
17
M. Tillman
5
A. Robinson
10
C. Pulisic
20
F. Balogun
17
C. De Ketelaere
14
D. Lukebakio
23
N. Raskin
10
L. Trossard
8
Y. Tielemans
24
A. Onana
5
M. De Cuyper
4
B. Mechele
25
N. Ngoy
21
T. Castagne
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Belgium

Substitutes

USA
USA
Goalkeeper

C. Brady

M. Turner

Defender

M. Arfsten

A. Robinson 90'

J. Scally

M. McKenzie

M. Robinson

A. Trusty

Midfielder

S. Berhalter

C. Pulisic 59'

G. Reyna

S. Dest 46'

Forward

B. Aaronson

R. Pepi

T. Adams 72'

T. Weah

A. Zendejas

H. Wright

F. Balogun 90'

Belgium
Belgium
Goalkeeper

S. Lammens

M. Penders

Defender

A. Theate

J. Seys

Z. Debast

K. De Winter

T. Meunier

Midfielder

A. Saelemaekers

L. Trossard 89'

D. Moreira

K. De Bruyne

H. Vanaken

A. Onana 21'

A. Witsel

N. Raskin 89'

Forward

M. Fernandez-Pardo

J. Doku

D. Lukebakio 67'

R. Lukaku

C. De Ketelaere 67'

Missing players

USA
USA
Midfielder

C. Roldan

Belgium
Belgium

USA & Belgium Squad Analysis

The pressure was very much on the USMNT to perform at this World Cup, and perform as they have. Pochettino’s players made a fast start, thumping the Paraguayans, scoring four goals in the process, before easily beating Australia to secure knockout qualification as group winners with a game to spare. The less said about that game to spare the better. Last time out, the Stars and Stripes continued to show that they mean business, beating a sturdy Bosnian outfit, despite having a player sent off. 

Last time out, the Stars and Stripes continued to show that they mean business, beating a sturdy Bosnian outfit, despite having a player sent off. 

In contrast, the Red Devils have not impressed. Rudi Garcia’s men delivered a laboured and slightly lazy effort against Egypt first time out, slumping to a disappointing 1-1 tie, before also tying with Iran. Sure, they stepped on the gas to beat New Zealand, but that win didn’t exactly push them on to bigger and better things in the Round-of-32, with the Belgians very nearly exiting the competition. Of course, they didn’t go out, but they certainly didn’t play like a team ready to go deep into the tournament.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato USA
CD Huachipato Belgium
Top Goalscorer
USA F. Balogun (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Belgium R. Lukaku (3 Goals) Belgium C. De Ketelaere (3 Goals)
Best assists
USA C. Pulisic (1 Assists)
USA M. Tillman (1 Assists)
USA A. Freeman (1 Assists)
USA S. Berhalter (1 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (3 Assists)

USA - Belgium Key Points

  1. The Stars and Stripes have scored ten goals in four games at this World Cup.
  2. Last time out, the Belgians looked defensively weak, conceding two goals against Senegal.
  3. During the Round-of-32, the USMNT scored multiple goals.
  4. The Stars and Stripes have scored two or more goals in each of their four games at this World Cup.
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Our USA vs Belgium Prediction

We’ve seen the Stars and Stripes sparkle offensively in all four of their games at this World Cup, with Mauricio Pochettino’s men scoring an impressive total of ten goals in their first four games, notching two or more in each of those four. 

Defensively, the Belgians weren’t overly tested during the group stage, and yet they still kept just one clean sheet, while they were all over the place against Senegal last time out, conceding two. Betting on the Red Devils to flounder defensively is definitely the way to go here. 

Our USA vs Belgium Pick: USA to Score Over 1.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

USA to Score Over 1.5 Goals

+115
$150 offered for betting!

USA vs Belgium - Other Interesting Picks

USA to Win

Odds +160
The time is now for the US, and as Pochettino’s troops are faced with something of a wounded opponent, they’re also worth betting on to go for the kill and come out on top. The Belgians looked out of shape last time out, so much so that they would’ve gone out if the Senegalese hadn’t complacently downed tools. Of the two teams, it is the Stars and Stripes who’ve looked more up for the fight at this World Cup, and with the backing of the home crowd, they’re worth betting on to win this fight.
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USA vs Belgium match : Frequently asked questions

The World Cup match featuring the United States versus Belgium is scheduled for 07/06/2026 at 8:00 pm ET in Seattle.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.