USA vs Australia Prediction & Picks - World Cup
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by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks
Following what was a dominant and unrelenting performance during the first round of group games, the Stars and Stripes will look to maintain their 100% record against the Australians on Friday afternoon.
The co-hosts were hotly fancied by many to get the better of Paraguay last time out, and they didn’t disappoint, shouldering the pressure with aplomb, winning decisively, thanks largely to some red-hot first-half soccer. The Australians also enjoyed themselves, beating the Turks in surprise fashion. They couldn’t cause another upset, could they?
Mauricio Pochettino' s men impressed against the Paraguayans, make no mistake about that, but this could be a much tougher game. There’s no way that the Aussies will be as open, while a tie would suit both, so don’t be too surprised if goals flow a lot less than they did in Los Angeles last Friday. ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ rates as the best option here.
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USA vs Australia Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
USA and Australia Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies
Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies
Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 19, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
Mar 23, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 14, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 15, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 27, 2024 - Copa America
Nov 20, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
May 30, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 - FIFA Series
Mar 27, 2026 - FIFA Series
Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup
Mar 31, 2026 - FIFA Series
Mar 27, 2026 - FIFA Series
Sep 5, 2025 - International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2025 - World Cup
Mar 20, 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
May 30, 2026 - International Friendlies
Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies
Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies
Oct 14, 2025 - International Friendlies
Oct 10, 2025 - International Friendlies
USA against Australia : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Oct 14, 2025 - International Friendlies
USA - Australia: Form Analysis
It was all about getting on the front foot and blowing their opponents out of the water on gameday one, and that’s exactly what the Stars and Stripes did. They were quick out of the gates, creating chances from the word go, scoring three first-half goals in what was an utterly dominant display. The big question is can Mauricio Pochettino’s men find a way to win when the opposition isn’t so open? We should find out very soon.
The big question is can Mauricio Pochettino’s men find a way to win when the opposition isn’t so open? We should find out very soon.
The Socceroos were not favored by the betting market ahead of their opening game against Turkey, but that did not deter Tony Popovic’s men, who deployed their usual deep-lying and rigid style, before bursting into life on the break through the speedy Nestory Irankunda, who scored a wonderful counter-attacking goal, neatly controlling a ball over the top, before steadying himself and tucking the ball home in crisp fashion. It was then all about standing firm, and they did just that, riding the storm defensively, before Connor Metcalfe delivered a second-half sucker punch.
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Australia v USA last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
C. Brady
M. Turner
DefenderM. Arfsten
M. Robinson
M. McKenzie
A. Trusty
J. Scally
MidfielderG. Reyna
S. Berhalter
C. Roldan
ForwardR. Pepi
B. Aaronson
A. Zendejas
H. Wright
T. Weah
M. Ryan
P. Izzo
DefenderA. Behich
M. Degenek
J. Geria
K. Trewin
L. Herrington
MidfielderJ. Irvine
C. Devlin
ForwardC. Volpato
M. Leckie
A. Mabil
A. Hrustic
T. Yengi
N. Velupillay
USA & Australia Squad Analysis
USA boss Mauricio Pochettino has options, and he could make a few switches, but the Argentine is expected to stick rather than twist. Having gone off at half time, being protected the prize asset, Christian Pulisic is expected to be deployed as the creator-in-chief once more. Tyler Adams and Malik Tillman are expected to occupy the central midfield spots, which will once again allow Weston McKennie to roam further forward. Gio Reyna scored a lovely goal off the bench last time out, though that’s not likely to be enough for him to break into the starting XI.
Nestory Irankunda will again be deployed as one of two key counter-attackers alongside Mohamed Toure.
Given how well they performed against the Turks, the Socceroos should field a similar lineup, with Tony Popovic likely to be delighted with the efforts of his opening-game starting XI. This means that the vastly experienced Jackson Irvine could once again be on the bench, while his St. Pauli colleague Connor Metcalfe is a likely starter in midfield. Nestory Irankunda will again be deployed as one of two key counter-attackers alongside Mohamed Toure.
Most goals and assists
USA
Australia
F. Balogun
(2 Goals)
C. Metcalfe
(1 Goals)
,
N. Irankunda
(1 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(1 Assists)
,
M. Tillman
(1 Assists)
,
A. Freeman
(1 Assists)
P. Okon-Engstler
(1 Assists)
USA - Australia Key Points
- Less than three goals were scored in Australia's first game at this World Cup.
- These two teams conceded just one goal between them during the first round of group games.
- Only one of Australia's last five games has contained more than five goals.
- When the pair met less than a year ago, they created modest xG totals of 1.32 (USA) and 0.69 (Australia).
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Our USA vs Australia Prediction
We know that this USA team has offensive quality, and they can score goals, as they’ve shown in all of their recent games. However, they’re now up against a very deep-lying and disciplined defensive unit. The Aussies will not want to open up, not one bit, so it’s not too difficult to see a relative lack of goals materializing in Seattle. Given the way the Socceroos will play, plus the fact that a tie suits both, less than three goals looks more likely than early odds of -110 might suggest.
Our USA vs Australia Pick: Under 2.5 Goals.
USA vs Australia - Other Interesting Picks
Tie
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USA vs Australia match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
