Duke vs UCONN Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball

USA - NCAA Basketball

Duke
3/29/26 17:05
UCONN

Prediction:

 

Over 133.5 Total Points

-115
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Basketball Picks

The NCAA tournament has reached the Elite Eight, and with that, two games are scheduled for Sunday to see who will advance to the Final Four. One of these games will see the #2-seeded UConn Huskies (32-5) take on the #1-seeded Duke Blue Devils (35-2) in the East Region. Let's take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Huskies and the Blue Devils.

UConn held on in their Sweet 16 game against Michigan State, beating them 67-63 on Friday night. The Huskies have now won three games in a row since their loss in the Big East tournament final. Further, in the NCAA tournament, the Huskies have covered the spread in two of their three tournament games and are averaging 74.0 points per game.

As for Duke, they outlasted St. John's in their Sweet 16 game on Friday night, beating them by a score of 80-75. The Blue Devils have won 14 games in a row, with their last loss coming against North Carolina back in early February. Despite their impressive win streak, Duke has covered the spread in just one of their three games and is averaging 77.3 points per game.

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Duke vs UCONN Form

Duke and UCONN Latest Matches

Duke
Duke Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 27, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
80 :  75
St. Johns Red Storm

Mar 21, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
81 :  58
TCU

Mar 19, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
71 :  65
Siena Saints

Apr 5, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
67 :  70
Houston

Mar 27, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
100 :  93
Arizona

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
89 :  66
Baylor
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 27, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
80 :  75
St. Johns Red Storm

Mar 21, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
81 :  58
TCU

Mar 19, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
71 :  65
Siena Saints

Apr 5, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
67 :  70
Houston

Mar 27, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
100 :  93
Arizona

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
89 :  66
Baylor
W
Victories

1/1 (100%)

Defeats

0/1 (0%)

Mar 29, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Houston
51 :  54
Duke
UCONN
UCONN Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 27, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
67 :  63
Michigan St.

Mar 22, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
73 :  57
UCLA Bruins

Mar 20, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
82 :  71
Furman Paladins

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Florida
77 :  75
UCONN

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
67 :  59
Oklahoma Sooners

Apr 8, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
75 :  60
Purdue
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Mar 27, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
67 :  63
Michigan St.

Mar 22, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
73 :  57
UCLA Bruins

Mar 20, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
82 :  71
Furman Paladins

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
67 :  59
Oklahoma Sooners

Apr 8, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
75 :  60
Purdue

Apr 6, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
86 :  72
Alabama
L
Victories

0/1 (0%)

Defeats

1/1 (100%)

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Florida
77 :  75
UCONN

Duke - UCONN Key Points

  1. UConn is allowing 63.6 points per game in the tournament
  2. Duke is allowing 66.6 points per game in the tournament
  3. The Over is 1-2 for UConn in the tournament
  4. The Over is 3-0 for Duke in the tournament
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Our Duke vs UCONN Prediction

Duke is the clear favorite in this game; however, the over looks to be the best betting option. For being the overall number one seed, Duke has had some close calls throughout the tournament. 

One thing that has been consistent for Duke is their offense. As mentioned, the Blue Devils are averaging 77.3 points per game and have had two of their three games go over the total. Defensively, they have also been sound, allowing an average of 66.6 points per game.

UConn, on the other hand, has also been solid offensively, averaging 74.0 points per game, while allowing 63.6 points per game. That said, the total has gone over in just one of the Huskies' three tournament games.

Despite that, this is a game where the offenses will need to take over. Both teams have more than enough playmakers to suggest a high-scoring game; therefore, our UConn Huskies vs Duke Blue Devils prediction is: Over 133.5 Total Points.

Prediction:

 

Over 133.5 Total Points

-115
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Duke vs UCONN Picks