Turkiye vs USA Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

Turkiye
6/25/26 22:00
USA

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

+110
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks

In a game that is now largely pointless, Turkey and USA clash in California on Thursday, when no matter what happens, the US are going through as group winners, while the Turks are heading home. 

Despite dominating each of their two games in terms of both possession and efforts on goal, the Turks were not able to beat either Australia or Paraguay, instead losing both games. For the US, that win against the Aussies marked two wins from two. 

Given that neither team has anything to play for here, with the Turks lacking in motivation and the US looking to just get through the game and stay as fresh as possible ahead of the knockouts, ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ appeals slightly more than a price of +110 suggests.

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Turkiye vs USA Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 USA
6 2 2 0 0 +5
4 Turkiye
0 2 0 0 2 -3

Turkiye and USA Latest Matches

Turkiye
Turkiye Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
0 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup

Australia
2 :  0
Turkiye

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  2
Turkiye

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Turkiye
4 :  0
North Macedonia

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Kosovo
0 :  1
Turkiye

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
1 :  0
Romania
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
0 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Turkiye
4 :  0
North Macedonia

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
1 :  0
Romania

Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup

Turkiye
2 :  0
Bulgaria

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Turkiye
4 :  1
Georgia

Sep 7, 2025 - World Cup

Turkiye
0 :  6
Spain
W W D W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup

Australia
2 :  0
Turkiye

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  2
Turkiye

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Kosovo
0 :  1
Turkiye

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Spain
2 :  2
Turkiye

Oct 11, 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
1 :  6
Turkiye

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Georgia
2 :  3
Turkiye
USA
USA Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Australia

Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup

USA
4 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  2
Germany

May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  2
Senegal

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  2
Portugal

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  5
Belgium
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

USA
2 :  0
Australia

Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup

USA
4 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  2
Germany

May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  2
Senegal

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  2
Portugal

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  5
Belgium
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 19, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Saudi Arabia
0 :  1
USA

Mar 23, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  1
USA

Nov 14, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
0 :  1
USA

Oct 15, 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
USA

Jun 27, 2024 - Copa America

Panama
2 :  1
USA

Nov 20, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Trinidad And Tobago
2 :  1
USA

Turkiye against USA : Head to Head (H2H)

Turkiye

100 %

Draw

0 %

USA

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Jun 7, 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  2
Turkiye

Turkiye - USA: Form Analysis

USMNT

Having already been knocked out of the tournament, it’s easy to simply say that the Turks were disappointing, but that’s not entirely true. There was nothing wrong with the intensity of Vincenzo Montella’s men in either of their two games, and they certainly got on the front foot, while they weren’t shy to get shots off. Unfortunately, the shots often came from the wrong place, and from the wrong players, while even when they did create big chances, they were hugely wasteful. A lack of end product is the driving force behind their elimination. 

Naturally, the tasks are going to get tougher for the co-hosts, but this is not an assignment that they need to worry about.

Wasteful is not something that the Stars and Stripes have been at this World Cup, not at all. They first hammered in four against the Paraguayans, before scoring a further two goals against the Aussies. Naturally, the tasks are going to get tougher for the co-hosts, but this is not an assignment that they need to worry about.

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USA v Turkiye last Lineups

Turkiye

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
U. Cakir
18
M. Muldur
3
M. Demiral
14
A. Bardakci
20
F. Kadioglu
16
I. Yuksek
10
H. Calhanoglu
19
Y. Akgun
8
A. Guler
11
K. Yildiz
7
K. Akturkoglu
20
F. Balogun
9
R. Pepi
8
W. McKennie
2
S. Dest
17
M. Tillman
4
T. Adams
5
A. Robinson
13
T. Ream
3
C. Richards
16
A. Freeman
24
M. Freese

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

USA

Substitutes

Turkiye
Turkiye
Goalkeeper

A. Bayindir

M. Gunok

Defender

Z. Celik

C. Soyuncu

S. Akaydin

O. Kabak

E. Elmali

Midfielder

K. Ayhan

S. Ozcan

O. Kokcu

Forward

C. Uzun

O. Aydin

I. Kahveci

D. Gul

B. Yilmaz

USA
USA
Goalkeeper

C. Brady

M. Turner

Defender

M. Arfsten

A. Trusty

M. McKenzie

J. Scally

M. Robinson

Midfielder

G. Reyna

S. Berhalter

C. Roldan

Forward

T. Weah

H. Wright

A. Zendejas

B. Aaronson

Missing players

Turkiye
Turkiye
Forward

Y. Akgun

USA
USA
Midfielder

C. Roldan

Turkiye & USA Squad Analysis

Having seen his team score no goals in two games, Vincenzo Montella may shake it up ahead of this game. Baris Yilmaz is expected to feature from the start having been on the bench last time out, Can Uzun could also now come into the starting XI. Yunus Akgun was disappointing last time out and could be dropped as a result. 

Baris Yilmaz is expected to feature from the start having been on the bench last time out, Can Uzun could also now come into the starting XI. Yunus Akgun was disappointing last time out and could be dropped as a result. 

There’s no need for Mauricio Pochettino to risk the fitness of his big guns here, which means that Christian Pulisic is unlikely to feature. Now that the US are already through, the star man has a little longer to get himself fully fit ahead of the knockouts. Top scorer Folarin Balogun could also be rested, while the same can be said for veteran defender Tim Ream. Joe Scally, Austin Trusty and Sebastian Berhalter could all get their first starts of the tournament. 

Turkiye - USA Key Points

  1. Less than three goals were scored in the USA's last game against Australia.
  2. Less than three goals were scored when Turkey took on Australia in this group.
  3. Less than three goals were also scored when Turkey faced Paraguay last time out.
  4. Three of the previous four matches involving the teams in this group have contained less than three goals.
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Our Turkiye vs USA Prediction

Let’s be real, the Turks are likely struggling for motivation. You could see how desperately disappointed they were following that Paraguay defeat, and although they have pride to play for, that may not be enough for them to suddenly improve offensively. 

At the same time, Mauricio Pochettino won’t be looking for his men to overly exert themselves given that they’re already through as group winners, so a relative lack of goals looks more likely than odds of +110 would have us believe.

Our Turkey vs USA Pick: Under 2.5 Goals. 


Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

+110
$200 offered for betting!

Turkiye vs USA - Other Interesting Picks

Tie

Odds +310
Given the circumstances, betting on the tie is far from the worst move at slightly generous-looking odds of +310. The Turks did not deserve to lose last time out, while the US won’t be at full strength, so this game could easily be more even than the time-of-writing odds indicate.
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A 2026 WC Welcome Bonus for Turkiye vs USA!

DraftKings WC Bonus

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Turkiye vs USA match : Frequently asked questions

The World Cup match between Turkey and the United States is scheduled for 06/25/2026 at 22:00, taking place at the Los Angeles Stadium.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Turkiye vs USA Picks