Turkiye vs USA Prediction & Picks - World Cup
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by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks
In a game that is now largely pointless, Turkey and USA clash in California on Thursday, when no matter what happens, the US are going through as group winners, while the Turks are heading home.
Despite dominating each of their two games in terms of both possession and efforts on goal, the Turks were not able to beat either Australia or Paraguay, instead losing both games. For the US, that win against the Aussies marked two wins from two.
Given that neither team has anything to play for here, with the Turks lacking in motivation and the US looking to just get through the game and stay as fresh as possible ahead of the knockouts, ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ appeals slightly more than a price of +110 suggests.
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Turkiye vs USA Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
Turkiye and USA Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup
Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup
Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup
Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup
Sep 7, 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup
Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup
Oct 11, 2025 - World Cup
Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 19, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
Mar 23, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 14, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 15, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 27, 2024 - Copa America
Nov 20, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
Turkiye against USA : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Jun 7, 2025 - International Friendlies
Turkiye - USA: Form Analysis

Having already been knocked out of the tournament, it’s easy to simply say that the Turks were disappointing, but that’s not entirely true. There was nothing wrong with the intensity of Vincenzo Montella’s men in either of their two games, and they certainly got on the front foot, while they weren’t shy to get shots off. Unfortunately, the shots often came from the wrong place, and from the wrong players, while even when they did create big chances, they were hugely wasteful. A lack of end product is the driving force behind their elimination.
Naturally, the tasks are going to get tougher for the co-hosts, but this is not an assignment that they need to worry about.
Wasteful is not something that the Stars and Stripes have been at this World Cup, not at all. They first hammered in four against the Paraguayans, before scoring a further two goals against the Aussies. Naturally, the tasks are going to get tougher for the co-hosts, but this is not an assignment that they need to worry about.
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USA v Turkiye last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Bayindir
M. Gunok
DefenderZ. Celik
C. Soyuncu
S. Akaydin
O. Kabak
E. Elmali
MidfielderK. Ayhan
S. Ozcan
O. Kokcu
ForwardC. Uzun
O. Aydin
I. Kahveci
D. Gul
B. Yilmaz
C. Brady
M. Turner
DefenderM. Arfsten
A. Trusty
M. McKenzie
J. Scally
M. Robinson
MidfielderG. Reyna
S. Berhalter
C. Roldan
ForwardT. Weah
H. Wright
A. Zendejas
B. Aaronson
Missing players
Y. Akgun
C. Roldan
Turkiye & USA Squad Analysis
Having seen his team score no goals in two games, Vincenzo Montella may shake it up ahead of this game. Baris Yilmaz is expected to feature from the start having been on the bench last time out, Can Uzun could also now come into the starting XI. Yunus Akgun was disappointing last time out and could be dropped as a result.
Baris Yilmaz is expected to feature from the start having been on the bench last time out, Can Uzun could also now come into the starting XI. Yunus Akgun was disappointing last time out and could be dropped as a result.
There’s no need for Mauricio Pochettino to risk the fitness of his big guns here, which means that Christian Pulisic is unlikely to feature. Now that the US are already through, the star man has a little longer to get himself fully fit ahead of the knockouts. Top scorer Folarin Balogun could also be rested, while the same can be said for veteran defender Tim Ream. Joe Scally, Austin Trusty and Sebastian Berhalter could all get their first starts of the tournament.
Turkiye - USA Key Points
- Less than three goals were scored in the USA's last game against Australia.
- Less than three goals were scored when Turkey took on Australia in this group.
- Less than three goals were also scored when Turkey faced Paraguay last time out.
- Three of the previous four matches involving the teams in this group have contained less than three goals.
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Our Turkiye vs USA Prediction
Let’s be real, the Turks are likely struggling for motivation. You could see how desperately disappointed they were following that Paraguay defeat, and although they have pride to play for, that may not be enough for them to suddenly improve offensively.
At the same time, Mauricio Pochettino won’t be looking for his men to overly exert themselves given that they’re already through as group winners, so a relative lack of goals looks more likely than odds of +110 would have us believe.
Our Turkey vs USA Pick: Under 2.5 Goals.
Turkiye vs USA - Other Interesting Picks
Tie
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Turkiye vs USA match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.