Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Prediction & Picks - NBA
USA - NBA
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by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks
The Toronto Raptors and the Golden State Warriors meet tonight at the Chase Center in a matchup that brings together two teams heading in very different directions. Toronto arrives in San Francisco looking to stabilize after a rough stretch, while Golden State continues to build momentum despite some growing concerns beneath the surface.
The Raptors have lost three of their last four games and are coming off a discouraging 110-93 loss to the Lakers, a game in which their offense never found any rhythm. On the season, Toronto is averaging 113.9 points per game on 47.1% shooting, while allowing 112.1 points on 46.1% from the field.
Defensively, they have done a respectable job limiting perimeter damage, holding opponents to 34.4% shooting from three-point range. On the glass, the Raptors pull down 43.2 rebounds per game, which has helped them stay competitive even when the offense stalls.
Golden State, on the other hand, comes into this contest riding a wave of recent success. The Warriors have won six of their last seven games and are fresh off a dominant 135-112 win over Miami last night. For the season, they're averaging 115.5 points per game on 45.6% shooting, while giving up 113.7 points on 47.2% shooting. Like Toronto, they have defended the three-point line well, allowing just 34.8% from deep, and they slightly edge the Raptors on the boards at 43.5 rebounds per game.
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Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
0.568 | 44 | 25 | 19 | |
|
11
|
0.568 | 44 | 25 | 19 | 4 |
Golden State Warriors and Toronto Raptors Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 19, 2026 - NBA
Jan 17, 2026 - NBA
Jan 15, 2026 - NBA
Jan 13, 2026 - NBA
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Jan 9, 2026 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 19, 2026 - NBA
Jan 17, 2026 - NBA
Jan 15, 2026 - NBA
Jan 13, 2026 - NBA
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Jan 9, 2026 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 5, 2026 - NBA
Dec 31, 2025 - NBA
Dec 29, 2025 - NBA
Dec 28, 2025 - NBA
Dec 18, 2025 - NBA
Dec 14, 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 18, 2026 - NBA
Jan 16, 2026 - NBA
Jan 14, 2026 - NBA
Jan 12, 2026 - NBA
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Jan 9, 2026 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 16, 2026 - NBA
Jan 12, 2026 - NBA
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Jan 5, 2026 - NBA
Jan 3, 2026 - NBA
Dec 31, 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 18, 2026 - NBA
Jan 14, 2026 - NBA
Jan 9, 2026 - NBA
Jan 7, 2026 - NBA
Dec 26, 2025 - NBA
Dec 23, 2025 - NBA
Golden State Warriors against Toronto Raptors : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Dec 28, 2025 - NBA
Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Mar 20, 2025 - NBA
Jan 13, 2025 - NBA
Mar 1, 2024 - NBA
Jan 7, 2024 - NBA
Players list
I. Quickley
ForwardC. Murray-Boyles
B. Ingram
S. Barnes
Substitutes
S. Curry
B. Hield
G. Payton II
P. Spencer
M. Moody
L. Cryer
B. Podziemski
W. Richard
ForwardJ. Kuminga
M. Leons
J. Butler
A. Lawson
J. Shead
A. Martin
ForwardJ. Battle
J. Mogbo
Golden State Warriors - Toronto Raptors Key Points
- The Over is 5-0 in the Warriors’ last 5 games as home favorites vs. the Raptors
- The Over is 1-8 in the Raptors’ last 9 road games on the first leg of a back-to-back
- The Raptors are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games as underdogs after a loss
- The Warriors are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. the Raptors with a winning record
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Our Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Prediction
Despite the strong results, there are some warning signs for Golden State. De'Anthony Melton and Seth Curry remain out, and while Draymond Green is expected to return after resting last night, the Warriors are still dealing with the physical toll of a back-to-back. More concerning is the loss of Jimmy Butler, who suffered a torn ACL last night. That injury removes one of the team's most reliable scorers and defensive tone-setters, forcing head coach Steve Kerr to reshuffle his rotations.
Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter, RJ Barrett, and Jakob Poeltl are all sidelined for Toronto, leaving the Raptors thin in both scoring punch and interior defense. Without Poeltl anchoring the paint and Barrett providing secondary offense, Toronto has struggled to generate easy looks and protect the rim consistently. That puts additional pressure on their remaining rotation players to execute efficiently and avoid extended scoring droughts.
Golden State has already faced questions about offensive consistency, and losing a major scoring option only amplifies that concern. There is also the ongoing issue of Jonathan Kuminga's limited role, as Kerr has been reluctant to lean on him heavily, even when the team needs athleticism and scoring punch. If the Warriors struggle to generate points early, the door could open for Toronto to hang around longer than expected. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors: Over 225.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
