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by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks
The Atlanta Hawks, preparing to face the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday, have opened their new season with familiar expectations: scoring in bunches and playing at a tempo few teams can comfortably match. Their offensive philosophy remains built around speed, spacing, and perimeter creativity — a formula that once again makes them one of the more entertaining teams in the Eastern Conference. Last season's campaign ended with a mid-tier playoff finish, reflecting both their potential and their persistent defensive vulnerabilities.
Early preseason performances have reaffirmed that the Hawks' ability to put points on the board is undiminished. They've averaged high scoring totals across their warm-up games, with crisp ball movement and confident outside shooting. Yet the same defensive issues that have plagued them in recent years continue to surface. Atlanta's struggles to contain strong forwards and secure defensive rebounds have often turned winnable games into tight contests. Opponents who emphasize inside scoring and second-chance points tend to find success against them, suggesting that consistency on the defensive glass remains a priority.
The Raptors enter this matchup as one of the league's most defensively structured and disciplined teams. Their identity remains grounded in grit, effort, and collective responsibility. While Toronto occasionally struggles to generate consistent offensive output, they make up for it with elite transition defense and strong half-court rotations.
Closing last season as one of the East's toughest defensive units, the Raptors continue to frustrate opponents by holding them below 110 points per game. Their preseason has shown steady form, with the team emphasizing physicality and spacing rather than individual heroics. Toronto's balanced approach and adaptability give them a reliable foundation, even when their offense isn't firing at full efficiency.
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Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks Form
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Toronto Raptors and Atlanta Hawks Latest Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 19, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 15, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 13, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 11, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Apr 13, 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 19, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 11, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Apr 9, 2025 - NBA
Apr 4, 2025 - NBA
Apr 3, 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 15, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 13, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Apr 13, 2025 - NBA
Apr 11, 2025 - NBA
Apr 6, 2025 - NBA
Apr 1, 2025 - NBA

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 20, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 14, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 13, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 11, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Apr 18, 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 13, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Apr 18, 2025 - NBA
Apr 13, 2025 - NBA
Apr 6, 2025 - NBA
Apr 5, 2025 - NBA
Apr 1, 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 20, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 14, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 11, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Apr 15, 2025 - NBA
Apr 11, 2025 - NBA
Toronto Raptors against Atlanta Hawks : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jan 25, 2025 - NBA
Jan 23, 2025 - NBA
Dec 29, 2024 - NBA
Feb 23, 2024 - NBA
Jan 28, 2024 - NBA
Dec 15, 2023 - NBA
Toronto Raptors - Atlanta Hawks Key Points
- The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Raptors are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 5-0 in the Hawks' last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in the Raptors' last 5 games
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Our Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction
For the Hawks, Trae Young remains the focal point — a dynamic scorer and playmaker capable of dictating pace with his deep shooting range and court vision. When he's in rhythm, Atlanta's offense becomes nearly unstoppable. His partnership with Dejounte Murray adds a critical two-way dimension, as Murray's ability to pressure opposing guards, rebound, and create off the dribble allows Young more freedom to operate. However, the duo's success depends on Atlanta maintaining spacing and minimizing defensive lapses.
Toronto, in contrast, relies on its versatile core. Scottie Barnes has developed into a do-it-all contributor, equally comfortable attacking the rim, facilitating, and defending multiple positions. Pascal Siakam remains the team's most polished scorer, using length and agility to dominate mismatches in the midrange and post. Meanwhile, OG Anunoby continues to anchor the perimeter defense, often tasked with neutralizing opposing stars while contributing key three-point shooting from the corners.
The game promises a clash of philosophies: Atlanta's explosive offense versus Toronto's methodical defense. If the Raptors can limit Trae Young's influence and slow the Hawks' transition play, their structure and discipline may edge them ahead. Expect a tight, competitive battle with Toronto narrowly prevailing, perhaps 109–105, through superior execution and defensive poise. Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors: Over 235.5 points.
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