Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL
USA - NHL
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by Taavi Pailk | in NHL Picks
In an NHL Eastern Conference showdown, the Pittsburgh Penguins will host the Toronto Maple Leafs on Saturday at PPG Paints Arena.
The Penguins are looking to regain momentum after recently struggling to get wins on the board. Wednesday's 4-2 victory over the Buffalo Sabres was only their third victory of the month.
Pittsburgh's cold stretch coincided with the absence of No. 1 goaltender Tristan Jarry, who returned from a seven-game absence on Wednesday. On Saturday, Jarry will probably have the night off after starting in Friday's matchup against the Columbus Blue Jackets.
Without Jarry, the Penguins must rely more on their offense to get the job done against Toronto. The team has been potent this season, averaging 3.09 goals per game.
Toronto also has a sharp attack, averaging 3.30 goals for the campaign. However, they are allowing 3.61 goals per game, and the problematic defense has made it tough for Craig Berube's men on most nights.
Entering this week's back-to-back against Pittsburgh and the Washington Capitals, Toronto has a .889 save percentage. The team has struggled in even-strength situations and must pick up its game to be competitive on Saturday night.
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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
98 | 1867 | 34 | 25 | +25 |
|
28
|
78 | 2377 | 23 | 36 | -46 |
Pittsburgh Penguins and Toronto Maple Leafs Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Nov 29, 2025 - NHL
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 29, 2025 - NHL
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Nov 9, 2025 - NHL
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 28, 2025 - NHL
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Oct 30, 2025 - NHL
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Nov 29, 2025 - NHL
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Nov 18, 2025 - NHL
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 20, 2025 - NHL
Nov 18, 2025 - NHL
Nov 13, 2025 - NHL
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Nov 5, 2025 - NHL
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 29, 2025 - NHL
Nov 28, 2025 - NHL
Nov 26, 2025 - NHL
Nov 22, 2025 - NHL
Nov 15, 2025 - NHL
Nov 11, 2025 - NHL
Pittsburgh Penguins against Toronto Maple Leafs : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Nov 29, 2025 - NHL
Nov 3, 2025 - NHL
Mar 2, 2025 - NHL
Dec 7, 2024 - NHL
Apr 8, 2024 - NHL
Dec 16, 2023 - NHL
Players list
A. Silovs
T. Jarry
P. Wotherspoon
R. Graves
R. Shea
M. Dumba
E. Karlsson
K. Letang
S. Crosby
J. Koppanen
D. Heinen
C. Dewar
V. Koivunen
B. Lizotte
E. Malkin
A. Mantha
T. Novak
B. Rust
K. Hayes
B. Kindel
J. Woll
D. Hildeby
P. Myers
T. Stecher
D. Mermis
O. Ekman-Larsson
M. Rielly
J. McCabe
D. Joshua
E. Cowan
B. McMann
M. Knies
N. Robertson
N. Roy
W. Nylander
S. Laughton
J. Tavares
M. Domi
S. Lorentz
A. Matthews
Most goals and assists
Pittsburgh Penguins
Toronto Maple Leafs
A. Mantha
(33 Goals)
J. Tavares
(31 Goals)
E. Karlsson
(53 Assists)
W. Nylander
(49 Assists)
Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs Key Points
- Toronto beat Pittsburgh 4-3 in this season's first meeting, improving to 5-1-0 over the past six clashes.
- The Penguins have a 6-3 home record in 2025-26.
- The Maple Leafs have won only two road games this season, going 2-6-0 on their travels.
- Pittsburgh has a league-best 31.4 percent power-play efficiency, while Toronto is ranked fifth from the bottom at 15.0 percent.
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Our Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
It's been a rocky ride for the Maple Leafs this season, particularly on the road, and they could be in for another frustrating night in Pittsburgh.
While the Penguins have been inconsistent this month, their offense can explode any minute, with veteran stars Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin in top form. The two have combined for over 40 points this season.
Meanwhile, Toronto lost William Nylander to illness for Friday's clash against Washington, and it's unclear if he can play on Saturday night. Nylander has been by far Toronto's most consistent offensive player this season, recording 31 points (11 goals, 20 assists) in 20 games.
Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins: Penguins to win.
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